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Santos — Soles de Mexicali

Basketball 16.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Favourite Soles de Mexicali best odds 1.59 Soles de Mexicali — Winning streak 3

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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Mexico. LNBP
Mexico. LNBP
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Finished

Mexico. LNBP

Santos - Soles de Mexicali

Basketball
Santos
Santos
75 : 84
Finished
Soles de Mexicali
Soles de Mexicali

Santos go head-to-head with Soles de Mexicali on August 16, 2026 in the Mexico. LNBP.

Recent form (W-D-L): Santos 3-0-2, Soles de Mexicali 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Soles de Mexicali (odds1.42) Score 78:82 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct
  • Santos: forma PPVPP (1-4)
  • Soles: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • Model backs Soles: probability 65% vs 70% on the line (odds 1.42)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santos - Soles de Mexicali August 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Soles de Mexicali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / 2 1.59

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.4% 5 books · best price +2.6%
1 40.5%
2 59.5%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Santos
41%
2.39
Soles de Mexicali
59%
1.59
Total
Over 39.5
50%
1.83
Under 39.5
50%
1.83

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Santos
#616 ptsGP 124-8
Soles de Mexicali
#122 ptsGP 1210-2

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins22
81.8Points on average89.5

Head-to-head matches: 29 · average total 171.2 (points)

Team form

Santos
2-8WLLWLLLLLL
points for 76.6points against 89.8
Soles de Mexicali
10-0WWWWWWWWWW
points for 81.5points against 69.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Play-by-play

Match timeline

SantosSoles de Mexicali
  • 1' Goal Santos
  • 1' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 1' Goal Santos
  • 1' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 2' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 3' Goal Santos
  • 3' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 4' Goal Santos
  • 4' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 5' Goal Santos
  • 6' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 6' Goal Santos
  • 7' Goal Santos
  • 7' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 8' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 8' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 8' Goal Santos
  • 9' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 9' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 9' Goal Santos
  • 10' Goal Santos
  • 10' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 10' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 11' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 12' Goal Santos
  • 13' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 13' Goal Santos
  • 14' Goal Santos
  • 15' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 15' Goal Santos
  • 16' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 16' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 16' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 16' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 16' Goal Santos
  • 17' Goal Santos
  • 17' Goal Santos
  • 17' Goal Santos
  • 18' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 18' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 18' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 19' Goal Santos
  • 19' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 19' Goal Santos
  • 20' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 20' Goal Santos
  • 22' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 22' Goal Santos
  • 23' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 23' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 24' Goal Santos
  • 24' Goal Santos
  • 24' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 24' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 25' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 26' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 26' Goal Santos
  • 27' Goal Santos
  • 27' Goal Santos
  • 28' Goal Santos
  • 28' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 29' Goal Santos
  • 29' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 30' Goal Santos
  • 30' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 31' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 31' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 32' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 32' Goal Santos
  • 33' Goal Santos
  • 33' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 33' Goal Santos
  • 34' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 34' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 35' Goal Santos
  • 36' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 36' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 36' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 36' Goal Soles de Mexicali
  • 36' Goal Santos

Play-by-play: gismo. For reference.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2026 01:00 UTC
Market 1 39.9% @ 2.39 / 2 60.1% @ 1.59
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Santos - Soles de Mexicali

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 59.8% fact: away hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.324 / LogLoss 0.515
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 53.9% fact: away hit / ROI 59.0% / Brier 0.425 / LogLoss 0.618
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.56 market consensus · line only
1 2.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 158.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 159.5 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0%
1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3%
1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 39.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 78.5 1.79 55.9%
Over 158.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.78 56.2%
Over 159.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8%
Over 160.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 39.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 78.5 1.89 52.9%
Under 158.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8%
Under 159.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.84 54.4%
Under 160.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.28 43.9% 2.39 41.8%
1.59 62.9% 1.59 62.9% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.51 66.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-4
2026-08-16 · Santos San Luis 75:84 Soles de Mekhikali
2025-08-16 · Santos San Luis 80:87 Soles de Mekhikali
2025-08-15 · Santos San Luis 81:86 Soles de Mekhikali
2024-08-01 · Santos San Luis 90:93 Soles de Mekhikali
2024-07-31 · Santos San Luis 82:74 Soles de Mekhikali
Source: ruscore
Santos
W L W W
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026
Santos Santos de San Luis 82:75 El Calor de Cancun
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026
Santos Santos de San Luis 84:89 El Calor de Cancun
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026
Santos Santos de San Luis 95:80 Mineros de Zacatecas
2026-07-24 LNBP 2026
Santos Santos de San Luis 87:86 Mineros de Zacatecas
3 Wins
1 Losses
87.0 Scored
82.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Soles de Mexicali
W W L L
2026-08-07 LNBP 2026
Lobos Plateados de la Buap 73:80 Soles de Mexicali Soles de Mexicali
2026-08-06 LNBP 2026
Lobos Plateados de la Buap 64:86 Soles de Mexicali Soles de Mexicali
2026-07-26 LNBP 2026
Fuerza Regia 95:89 Soles de Mexicali Soles de Mexicali
2026-07-25 LNBP 2026
Fuerza Regia 94:91 Soles de Mexicali Soles de Mexicali
2 Wins
2 Losses
86.5 Scored
81.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Santos - Soles de Mexicali

Santos
3 matches total
Soles de Mexicali
Santos: 0 (0%)
Soles de Mexicali: 3 (100%)
Biggest win Soles de Mexicali 87:80 (2025-08-16) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 183 points (93:90, 2024-08-01) most points in a game

Match history

2025-08-16 LNBP 2026
Soles de Mexicali 87:80 Santos de San Luis
2025-08-15 LNBP 2026
Soles de Mexicali 86:81 Santos de San Luis
2024-08-01 LNBP 2026
Soles de Mexicali 93:90 Santos de San Luis

Detailed match statistics Santos – Soles de Mexicali

50Ball possession50
15/15/30Free throws scored22/10/32
18/23/41Two pointers scored19/19/38
8/15/23Three pointers scored8/18/26
11Max Points in a Row10
5Timeouts3
40Rebounds47
41Successful Attempts49
24Fouls22
6Fouls current period5
6Biggest lead17
446Time spent in lead1944
4Lead changes4

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Recent form

Santos LLLWLL
Soles de Mexicali WWWWWW

Standings

# PWL+/-Pts
1Dorados de Chihuahua9726416
2Fuerza Regia963015
3Panteras de Aguascalientes9543214
4Correcaminos1129-7213
5Abejas de Leon945-113
6Santos de San Luis945-5913
7Freseros de Irapuato936-5612

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Santos LLLWLL
Soles de Mexicali WWWWWW
Winning streak: 3

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Stadium: Auditorio Miguel Barragan, San Luis de Potosi

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Santos vs Soles de Mexicali start?

August 16, 2026.