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LNBP
LNBP International
13.08.2026 03:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
13.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

LNBP

Soles de Mexicali - Abejas de Leon

International Basketball
Soles de Mexicali
Soles de Mexicali
63 : 47
Finished
Abejas de Leon
Abejas de Leon

Soles de Mexicali take on Abejas de Leon on August 13, 2026 in the LNBP, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Soles de Mexicali 2-0-0, Abejas de Leon 0-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Soles de Mexicali — 63%

1 · Soles de Mexicali ✓ Pick63.4%
market72%
2 · Abejas de Leon36.6%
market28%

Model estimate: win Soles de Mexicali 63.4%, win Abejas de Leon 36.6%. Model favourite — Soles de Mexicali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Soles de Mexicali (odds1.25) Score 82:78 Under 160.5 (odds1.94) ✗ Handicap H2 +8.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Soles de Meksikali: forma VV (2-0)
  • • Abekhas de Leon: forma pp (0-2)
  • • Model backs Soles de Meksikali: probability 63% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 160.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 160.5 (odds 1.94)
  • • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Soles de Mexicali - Abejas de Leon August 13, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Soles de Mexicali.

Line favourite Fonbet: Soles de Mexicali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.28 / 2 3.35
  • Glicko: Soles de Mexicali 63.4% / Abejas de Leon 36.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 ✓ Pick 72.4%
2 27.7%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.17 → 1.17
Winner 2 4.40 → 4.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Soles de Mexicali
#312 ptsGP 75-2
Abejas de Leon
#710 ptsGP 73-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

25Wins24
86.2Points on average85.8

Head-to-head matches: 49 · average total 172.0 (points)

Team form

Soles de Mexicali
6-4LWLLLWWWWW
points for 81.9points against 78.2
Abejas de Leon
3-7LLLWWLWLLL
points for 86.8points against 93.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 13.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 72.4% @ 1.28 / 2 27.6% @ 3.35
Form 4 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Soles de Mexicali 63%
💹 Market Soles de Mexicali 72%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Soles de Mexicali - Abejas de Leon

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 63:47
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.4% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.268 / LogLoss 0.456
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.4% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.399 / LogLoss 0.591
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Soles de Mexicali 79.0% 63.4% market and model agree
Abejas de Leon 21.0% 36.6%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 63.4% / 36.6% probabilities
Rating 1,959 / 1,343 Soles de Mexicali / Abejas de Leon
RD 290 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,379-2,539 / 760-1,926 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.35 Fonbet · no value · model 36.6%
1 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 63.4%
Total
Over 138.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 139.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.96 51.0%
1.64 61.0%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.43 69.9%
1.43 69.9%
1.40 71.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.07 48.3%
1.40 71.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 138.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 139.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 140.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 141.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 144.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 145.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 146.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 147.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 148.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 149.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 150.5 2.75 36.4%
Over 151.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 152.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 153.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 154.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 155.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.28 78.1%
3.35 29.9%
Match center
Soles de Mexicali
W W
07.08 02:00 UTC LNBP
Soles de Mexicali 70:44 Lobos PlateadosLobos Plateados
31.07 03:00 UTC LNBP
Soles de Mexicali 36:23 Gambusinos de FresnilloGambusinos de Fresnillo
2 Wins
0 Losses
53.0 Scored
33.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Abejas de Leon
L L
07.08 02:00 UTC LNBP
Abejas de Leon 66:80 Astros KhaliskoAstros Khalisko
31.07 01:15 UTC LNBP
Abejas de Leon 60:62 El Kalor de KankunEl Kalor de Kankun
0 Wins
2 Losses
63.0 Scored
71.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Soles de Mexicali vs Abejas de Leon?

By the PropickAI model, Soles de Mexicali is favoured — about 63% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Soles de Mexicali vs Abejas de Leon?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Soles de Mexicali. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Soles de Mexicali vs Abejas de Leon start?

August 13, 2026.