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Soles de Mexicali — Abejas de Leon

Basketball 13.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Favourite Soles de Mexicali best odds 1.11

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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LNBP
LNBP International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
13.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Finished

LNBP

Soles de Mexicali - Abejas de Leon

International Basketball
Soles de Mexicali
Soles de Mexicali
63 : 47
Finished
Abejas de Leon
Abejas de Leon

Soles de Mexicali take on Abejas de Leon on August 13, 2026 in the LNBP, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Soles de Mexicali 2-0-0, Abejas de Leon 0-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Soles de Mexicali (odds1.25) Score 82:78 Under 160.5 (odds1.94) Handicap H2 +8.5 (odds1.85) confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • Soles de Meksikali: forma VV (2-0)
  • Abekhas de Leon: forma pp (0-2)
  • Model backs Soles de Meksikali: probability 63% vs 80% on the line (odds 1.25)
  • no edge over the line (-17 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 160.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 160.5 (odds 1.94)
  • Handicap F2 +8.5: score forecast 82:78 (diff +4) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Soles de Mexicali - Abejas de Leon August 13, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Soles de Mexicali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / 2 4.70

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 11.4%
1 80.9%
2 19.1%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Soles de Mexicali
#312 ptsGP 75-2
Abejas de Leon
#710 ptsGP 73-4

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

33Wins12
89.9Points on average83.3

Head-to-head matches: 45 · average total 173.2 (points)

Team form

Soles de Mexicali
6-4LWLLLWWWWW
points for 81.9points against 78.2
Abejas de Leon
3-7LLLWWLWLLL
points for 86.8points against 93.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2026 03:00 UTC
Market 1 80.9% @ 1.11 / 2 19.1% @ 4.70
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Soles de Mexicali - Abejas de Leon

Form 2/2 recent games
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 63.4% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.268 / LogLoss 0.456
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.4% fact: home hit / ROI 17.0% / Brier 0.399 / LogLoss 0.591
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.70 Fonbet · line only
1 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 138.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 139.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.75 36.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%
1.53 65.4%
1.52 65.8%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.45 69.0%
2.55 39.2%
1.40 71.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.55 64.5%
1.47 68.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 138.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 139.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 140.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 141.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 142.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 143.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 144.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 145.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 146.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 147.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 148.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 149.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 150.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 151.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 152.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 153.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 154.5 1.42 70.4%
Over 155.5 1.50 66.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.11 90.1%
4.70 21.3%
Match center
Soles de Mexicali
W W
07.08 02:00 UTC LNBP
Soles de Mexicali 70:44 Lobos PlateadosLobos Plateados
31.07 03:00 UTC LNBP
Soles de Mexicali 36:23 Gambusinos de FresnilloGambusinos de Fresnillo
2 Wins
0 Losses
53.0 Scored
33.5 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Abejas de Leon
L L
07.08 02:00 UTC LNBP
Abejas de Leon 66:80 Astros KhaliskoAstros Khalisko
31.07 01:15 UTC LNBP
Abejas de Leon 60:62 El Kalor de KankunEl Kalor de Kankun
0 Wins
2 Losses
63.0 Scored
71.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage

Frequently asked questions

When does Soles de Mexicali vs Abejas de Leon start?

August 13, 2026.