Mexico. LNBP
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Astros Jalisco — 82%
Pure model vs market (1 · Astros Jalisco): model 64% · market 85% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Astros Jalisco 81.9%, win Correcaminos de la UAT 18.1%. Model favourite — Astros Jalisco.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Astros Jalisco.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | — | |
| — | 1.95 51.3% | |
| — | 1.43 69.9% | |
| — | 2.07 48.3% | |
| — | 2.00 50.0% | |
| — | 1.90 52.6% | |
| — | 1.80 55.6% | |
| — | 1.72 58.1% | |
| — | 1.64 61.0% | |
| — | 1.67 59.9% | |
| — | 1.45 69.0% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 161.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 162.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 163.5 | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 164.5 | — | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 165.5 | — | 1.82 55.0% |
| Over 166.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 167.5 | — | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 168.5 | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 169.5 | 1.84 54.4% | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 170.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 171.5 | — | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 172.5 | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| Under 166.5 | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 169.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 170.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — |
| Outcome | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.14 87.7% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | |
| 4.90 20.4% | 6.15 16.3% | 5.70 17.5% |
Astros Jalisco
Full head-to-head historyAstros Jalisco - Correcaminos de la UAT
The Astros Jalisco - Correcaminos de la UAT breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
