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Connecticut Sun — Spurs

Basketball 11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Favourite Connecticut Sun best odds 1.84

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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NBA
NBA USA
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished

NBA

USA

Connecticut Sun vs Spurs — Basketball prediction

USA Basketball
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut Sun
107 : 106
Finished
Spurs
Spurs

Connecticut Sun go head-to-head with Spurs on June 11, 2026 in the NBA, USA.

Recent form (W-D-L): Connecticut Sun 0-0-1, Spurs 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - Spurs June 11, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Connecticut Sun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.68 / 2 2.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.6% 7 books · best price +2.2%
1 54.0%
2 46.0%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (Baltbet, Bet365, Bet365 (no latency), Betfair, Bettery, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

VALUE

Fonbet · historical ROI

Extra value signals (not 1x2)

LOW

Total points: Under 217.5

odds 1.75 hist. ROI +0.0%

Under (zaschitnyy/nizkotempovyy match)

Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Connecticut Sun
54%
1.84
Spurs
46%
2.20

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Connecticut Sun
#3GP 8253-29
Spurs
#2GP 8262-20

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Basketball stats

Head-to-head and team form

Team form

Connecticut Sun

Coach: Joe Mazzulla

Overall LLLWW Net +15.7
Home LLL Net +14.8
Away LWW Net +16.6
Spurs

Coach: Gregg Popovich

Overall WLLWW Net +16.9
Home LLW Net +18.4
Away WWL Net +15.3

Team stats

Connecticut Sun Overall · Home/Away Spurs
67.1%H 69.8% · A 64.3%Win %72.2%H 75.5% · A 68.8%
15.7H 14.8 · A 16.6Point differential16.9H 18.4 · A 15.3
114.4H 114.0 · A 114.8Points per game118.4H 118.6 · A 118.3
106.5H 106.6 · A 106.5Conceded110.0H 109.4 · A 110.7
46.2%H 46.2% · A 46.1%FG, %47.7%H 48.3% · A 47.1%
65.9H 62.8 · A 69.11st half67.0H 71.4 · A 62.5
97.1H 97.3 · A 96.8Pace101.8H 101.1 · A 102.4
117.6H 117.6 · A 117.7Offensive rating116.7H 117.7 · A 115.6
109.6H 109.5 · A 109.6Defensive rating108.4H 109.4 · A 107.4

Team totals distribution

Over 70.5 - 100.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
114.4 Points per game 118.4
94.1%
O 93.5
99.0%
94.1%
O 94.5
99.0%
91.8%
O 95.5
96.9%
90.6%
O 96.5
96.9%
87.1%
O 97.5
96.9%
85.9%
O 98.5
95.9%
85.9%
O 99.5
95.9%
83.5%
O 100.5srednee
94.8%

Over 101.5 - 130.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
56.5%
O 111.5
73.2%
54.1%
O 112.5
70.1%
49.4%
O 113.5
69.1%
45.9%
O 114.5
62.9%
42.4%
O 115.5
58.8%
40.0%
O 116.5
55.7%
37.6%
O 117.5
53.6%
37.6%
O 118.5
48.5%

Points by period

1st half (Q1+Q2)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun 58.9 / Spurs 61.3

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
41.2%
O 58.5
58.8%
38.8%
O 59.5
51.5%
37.6%
O 60.5srednee
47.4%
37.6%
O 61.5
44.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)

Points per game: Connecticut Sun 55.2 / Spurs 56.5

Connecticut Sun Total (over) Spurs
51.8%
O 54.5
58.8%
48.2%
O 55.5srednee
55.7%
48.2%
O 56.5
51.5%
41.2%
O 57.5
43.3%

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Market 1 56.7% @ 1.68 / 2 43.3% @ 2.20
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Connecticut Sun - Spurs

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 107.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Over 108.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.39 71.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
2.23 44.8%
2.37 42.2%
2.60 38.5%
2.77 36.1%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.51 66.2%
1.44 69.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 107.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 108.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 109.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 110.5 1.99 50.3%
Over 111.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 211.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 212.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 213.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 214.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 215.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 216.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 217.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 218.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 219.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 220.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 221.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 107.5 2.13 47.0%
Under 108.5 1.99 50.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betfair Bettery Fonbet Leon
1.68 59.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.68 59.5% 1.77 56.5%
2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.18 45.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.08 48.1%
Match center
Connecticut Sun
L
09.06 00:30 UTC NBA
Connecticut Sun 111:115 San-AntonioSan-Antonio
0 Wins
1 Losses
111.0 Scored
115.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Spurs
W W
31.05 00:00 UTC NBA
Spurs 111:103 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
29.05 00:30 UTC NBA
Spurs 118:91 Oklahoma City ThunderOklahoma City Thunder
2 Wins
0 Losses
114.5 Scored
97.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Connecticut Sun - Spurs

Connecticut Sun
1 matches total
Spurs
Connecticut Sun: 0 (0%)
Spurs: 1 (100%)
Biggest win San-Antonio 111:115 (09.06 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 226 points (111:115, 09.06 00:30 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

09.06 00:30 UTC NBA
Connecticut Sun
111:115
San-Antonio

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Connecticut Sun vs Spurs?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Connecticut Sun. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Connecticut Sun vs Spurs?

Live odds for Connecticut Sun vs Spurs from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Connecticut Sun vs Spurs start?

June 11, 2026.