LOW
Total points: Under 217.5
odds 1.75
hist. ROI +0.0%
Under (zaschitnyy/nizkotempovyy match)
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11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Finished
NBA
Connecticut Sun - Spurs
107
:
106
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Connecticut Sun - Spurs June 11, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Connecticut Sun. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.68 / 2 2.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
56.7%
2
43.3%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
VALUE
Fonbet · historical ROI
Extra value signals (not 1x2)
Signals built from a May 2026 backtest: statistical windows with a stable positive ROI. Not financial advice — play responsibly.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Connecticut Sun
Spurs
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Team form
Connecticut Sun
Coach: Joe Mazzulla
Overall
LLLWW
Net +15.7
Home
LLL
Net +14.8
Away
LWW
Net +16.6
Spurs
Coach: Gregg Popovich
Overall
WLLWW
Net +16.9
Home
LLW
Net +18.4
Away
WWL
Net +15.3
Team stats
Connecticut Sun
Overall · Home/Away
Spurs
67.1%H 69.8% · A 64.3%Win %72.2%H 75.5% · A 68.8%
15.7H 14.8 · A 16.6Point differential16.9H 18.4 · A 15.3
114.4H 114.0 · A 114.8Points per game118.4H 118.6 · A 118.3
106.5H 106.6 · A 106.5Conceded110.0H 109.4 · A 110.7
46.2%H 46.2% · A 46.1%FG, %47.7%H 48.3% · A 47.1%
65.9H 62.8 · A 69.11st half67.0H 71.4 · A 62.5
97.1H 97.3 · A 96.8Pace101.8H 101.1 · A 102.4
117.6H 117.6 · A 117.7Offensive rating116.7H 117.7 · A 115.6
109.6H 109.5 · A 109.6Defensive rating108.4H 109.4 · A 107.4
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Connecticut Sun
Total (over)
Spurs
114.4
Points per game
118.4
94.1%
O 93.5
99.0%
94.1%
O 94.5
99.0%
91.8%
O 95.5
96.9%
90.6%
O 96.5
96.9%
87.1%
O 97.5
96.9%
85.9%
O 98.5
95.9%
85.9%
O 99.5
95.9%
83.5%
O 100.5srednee
94.8%
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Connecticut Sun
Total (over)
Spurs
56.5%
O 111.5
73.2%
54.1%
O 112.5
70.1%
49.4%
O 113.5
69.1%
45.9%
O 114.5
62.9%
42.4%
O 115.5
58.8%
40.0%
O 116.5
55.7%
37.6%
O 117.5
53.6%
37.6%
O 118.5
48.5%
Points by period
1st half (Q1+Q2)
Points per game: Connecticut Sun 58.9 / Spurs 61.3
Connecticut Sun
Total (over)
Spurs
41.2%
O 58.5
58.8%
38.8%
O 59.5
51.5%
37.6%
O 60.5srednee
47.4%
37.6%
O 61.5
44.3%
2nd half (Q3+Q4)
Points per game: Connecticut Sun 55.2 / Spurs 56.5
Connecticut Sun
Total (over)
Spurs
51.8%
O 54.5
58.8%
48.2%
O 55.5srednee
55.7%
48.2%
O 56.5
51.5%
41.2%
O 57.5
43.3%
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Match center
Start
11.06.2026 00:30 UTC
Match center
Connecticut Sun - Spurs
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.20
Fonbet · line only
1
1.68
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 107.5
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Over 108.5
1.73
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.39 71.9% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| 2.07 48.3% | |
| 2.23 44.8% | |
| 2.37 42.2% | |
| 2.60 38.5% | |
| 2.77 36.1% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.75 57.1% | |
| 1.67 59.9% | |
| 1.58 63.3% | |
| 1.51 66.2% | |
| 1.44 69.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 107.5 | 1.63 61.4% |
| Over 108.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 109.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 110.5 | 1.99 50.3% |
| Over 111.5 | 2.15 46.5% |
| Over 211.5 | 1.53 65.4% |
| Over 212.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
| Over 213.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 214.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Over 215.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 216.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 217.5 | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 218.5 | 2.03 49.3% |
| Over 219.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| Over 220.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| Over 221.5 | 2.33 42.9% |
| Under 107.5 | 2.13 47.0% |
| Under 108.5 | 1.99 50.3% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Betfair | Bettery | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.68 59.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.77 56.5% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.08 48.1% |
Match center
Connecticut Sun
L
09.06 00:30 UTC
NBA
Connecticut Sun
111:115
San-Antonio
San-Antonio
0
Wins
1
Losses
111.0
Scored
115.0
Conceded
0%
Win percentage
Spurs
W
W
31.05 00:00 UTC
NBA
Spurs
111:103
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
29.05 00:30 UTC
NBA
Spurs
118:91
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
2
Wins
0
Losses
114.5
Scored
97.0
Conceded
100%
Win percentage
Match center
Full head-to-head historyConnecticut Sun - Spurs
Connecticut Sun
1
matches total
Connecticut Sun: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Spurs: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
San-Antonio 111:115 (09.06 00:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
226 goals (111:115, 09.06 00:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
09.06 00:30 UTC
NBA
NBA
Connecticut Sun
111:115
San-Antonio
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