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New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
01.08.2026 04:00 UTC Match prediction
01.08.2026 04:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand: NBL - Playoff

Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks

Basketball
Canterbury Rams
Canterbury Rams
101 : 117
Finished
Southland Sharks
Southland Sharks
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Canterbury Rams — 56%

1 · Canterbury Rams ✓ Pick56.3%
2 · Southland Sharks43.7%

Model estimate: win Canterbury Rams 56.3%, win Southland Sharks 43.7%. Model favourite — Canterbury Rams.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Canterbury Rams (odds1.51) Score 81:79 confidence 56% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Kenterberi Rams: forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • • Sautlend Sharks: forma VPVVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.83→5.80 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • • Model backs Kenterberi Rams: probability 56% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks August 1, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Canterbury Rams.

Line favourite market consensus: Canterbury Rams. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.53 / 2 2.47
  • Glicko: Canterbury Rams 56.3% / Southland Sharks 43.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 ✓ Pick 61.8%
2 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.83 ↑ 5.80
Winner 2 1.87 ↓ 1.10

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Canterbury Rams
7-3WLWWWLWWWL
points for 98.2points against 84.3
Southland Sharks

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 04:00 UTC
Market 1 61.8% @ 1.53 / 2 38.3% @ 2.47
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Canterbury Rams - Southland Sharks

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 101:117
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 56.3% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.634 / LogLoss 0.828
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.552 / LogLoss 0.745
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Canterbury Rams 15.9% 56.3% Glicko contrarian
Southland Sharks 84.1% 43.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 56.3% / 43.7% probabilities
Rating 2,039 / 1,920 Canterbury Rams / Southland Sharks
RD 166 / 201 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,707-2,371 / 1,519-2,321 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.42 market consensus · no value · model 43.7%
1 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 56.3%
Total
Over 185.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
Over 186.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 185.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 186.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 185.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Under 186.5 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5%
Match center
Canterbury Rams
W W W W W
26.07 04:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 89:66 Frenklin BullzFrenklin Bullz
19.07 01:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 91:80 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
12.07 01:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 98:88 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
09.07 05:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 93:90 Taranaki AirsTaranaki Airs
03.07 05:30 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Canterbury Rams 99:65 Manavatu DzhetsManavatu Dzhets
5 Wins
0 Losses
94.0 Scored
77.8 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Southland Sharks
W
29.07 05:00 UTC New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
Southland Sharks 96:81 Tauranga Whai
1 Wins
0 Losses
96.0 Scored
81.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCanterbury Rams - Southland Sharks

Canterbury Rams
1 matches total
Southland Sharks
Canterbury Rams: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Southland Sharks: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Sautlend Sharks 98:103 (01.07 05:00 UTC+0) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 201 goals (98:103, 01.07 05:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

01.07 05:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Kenterberi Rams
98:103
Sautlend Sharks