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New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
29.07.2026 05:00 UTC Match prediction
29.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Finished

New Zealand: NBL - Playoff

Sharks - Tauranga Whai

Basketball
Sharks
Sharks
96 : 81
Finished
T
Tauranga Whai
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Sharks — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Sharks): model 62% · market 75% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Sharks ✓ Pick72.1%
market75%
2 · Tauranga Whai27.9%
market25%

Model estimate: win Sharks 72.1%, win Tauranga Whai 27.9%. Model favourite — Sharks.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Sharks (odds1.30) Score 83:77 confidence 71% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Sautlend Sharks: forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Tauranga Whai: forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • • Model backs Sautlend Sharks: probability 71% vs 77% on the line (odds 1.30)
  • • no edge over the line (-6 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sharks - Tauranga Whai July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sharks.

Line favourite market consensus: Sharks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / 2 3.76
  • Glicko: Sharks 72.1% / Tauranga Whai 27.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 74.8%
2 25.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sharks

no data

Tauranga Whai
4-6LLLWWLWLLW
points for 83.7points against 89.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated28.07.2026 03:11 UTC
1 76% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score100:91 Total points: Under 194.5 Bet:Win Sautlend Sharks with handicap (-7.5)
Claude updated28.07.2026 03:25 UTC
1 76% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score94:81 Total points: Under 178.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (-8.5)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 03:20 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated29.07.2026 04:28 UTC
1 76% ✓ favourite
2 24%
Score... Total points: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 03:40 UTC
1 72% ✓ favourite
2 28%
Score98:92 Total points: Over 195.5 Bet:1 with handicap -7.5
Per AI data Form:4W1L / 2W3L

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 76% 24% 100:91 Under 194.5 Win Sautlend Sharks with handicap (-7.5)
Claude 76% 24% 94:81 Under 178.5 Handicap 1 (-8.5)
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 76% 24% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 72% 28% 98:92 Over 195.5

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 05:00 UTC
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Sharks 76%
📐 Math model Sharks 72%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Sharks - Tauranga Whai

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 96:81
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 72.1% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.156 / LogLoss 0.328
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.8% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.339 / LogLoss 0.531
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sharks 72.8% 72.1% market and model agree
Tauranga Whai 27.2% 27.9%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 72.1% / 27.9% probabilities
Rating 1,883 / 1,520 Sharks / Tauranga Whai
RD 211 / 137 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,462-2,304 / 1,247-1,794 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.52 market consensus · no value · model 27.9%
1 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.1%
Total
Over 175.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Over 176.5 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.81 55.3% —
1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
— — 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% —
1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6% —
1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 175.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
Over 176.5 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.84 54.4%
Over 177.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% —
Over 178.5 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4% —
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 176.5 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 177.5 1.82 55.0% 1.82 55.0% —
Under 178.5 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 179.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.26 79.4%
3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.76 26.6%
Match center
Sharks
L W W W W
25.07 02:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Sharks 94:119 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
18.07 02:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Sharks 103:62 Bey Khoks
11.07 07:30 UTC+0 New Zealand. NBL
Sharks 83:71 Nelson DzhayntsNelson Dzhaynts
11.07 05:30 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Sharks 83:71 Nelson DzhayentsNelson Dzhayents
01.07 05:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Sharks 103:98 Kenterberi RamsKenterberi Rams
4 Wins
1 Losses
93.2 Scored
84.2 Conceded
80% Win percentage
Tauranga Whai
W W L L L
25.07 05:30 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 91:78 Nelson DzhayentsNelson Dzhayents
22.07 05:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 107:66 Otago NaggetsOtago Naggets
18.07 05:30 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 95:107 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
10.07 05:30 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 95:109 Vellington SeyntsVellington Seynts
04.07 02:00 UTC+0 New Zealand: NBL
Tauranga Whai 59:109 Auckland TuataraAuckland Tuatara
2 Wins
3 Losses
89.4 Scored
93.8 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historySharks - Tauranga Whai

Sharks
0 matches total
Tauranga Whai
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history