New Zealand: NBL - Playoff
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Vellington Seynts — 74%
Pure model vs market (1 · Vellington Seynts): model 65% · market 74% Δ −9 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Vellington Seynts 73.6%, win Otago Nuggets 26.4%. Model favourite — Vellington Seynts.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vellington Seynts.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.84 54.4% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.83 54.6% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | |
| 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 183.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 184.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Over 185 | — | — | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 185.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 183.5 | 1.88 53.2% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 184.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 185 | — | — | 1.85 54.1% |
| Under 185.5 | — | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% | |
| 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.64 27.5% |
Vellington Seynts
Sautlend Sharks
Otago Nuggets
Oklend Tuatara
Full head-to-head historyVellington Seynts - Otago Nuggets
The Vellington Seynts - Otago Nuggets breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
