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AI verdict

AI pick Amambay win probability ~89% confidence High best odds 1.01

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Amambay. Full breakdown below.

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Paraguay. Primera
Paraguay. Primera International
13.08.2026 23:30 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
13.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Finished

Paraguay. Primera

Capiata Bulls - Amambay

International Basketball
Capiata Bulls
Capiata Bulls
39 : 88
Finished
Amambay
Amambay

Capiata Bulls go head-to-head with Amambay on August 13, 2026 in the Paraguay. Primera, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Capiata Bulls 0-0-3, Amambay 3-0-2. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 11% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Amambay — 89%

1 · Capiata Bulls10.5%
market 8%
2 · Amambay ✓ Pick89.5%
market 92%

Model estimate: win Capiata Bulls 10.5%, win Amambay 89.5%. Model favourite — Amambay.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Capiata Bulls - Amambay August 13, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Amambay.

Line favourite Fonbet: Amambay. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / 2 1.01
  • Glicko: Capiata Bulls 10.5% / Amambay 89.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 7.8%
2 ✓ Pick 92.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 12.00 → 12.00
Winner 2 1.01 → 1.01

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Total
Over 148.5
50%
1.85
Under 148.5
50%
1.85

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

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Match center
Start 13.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 7.8% @ 12.00 / 2 92.2% @ 1.01
Form 2 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Amambay 89%
💹 Market Amambay 92%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Capiata Bulls - Amambay

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 39:88
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Watch reduced: confidence too high Data: line, form, table away - 89.5% fact: away hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.022 / LogLoss 0.111
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.8% fact: away hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.234 / LogLoss 0.419
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.8% fact: away hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.234 / LogLoss 0.419
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.8% fact: away hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.234 / LogLoss 0.419
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Capiata Bulls 7.8% 10.5%
Amambay 92.2% 89.5% market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 10.5% / 89.5% probabilities
Rating 1,236 / 1,395 Capiata Bulls / Amambay
RD 291 / 289 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 654-1,818 / 816-1,974 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 89.5%
Total
Over 129.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 130.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% —
1.80 55.6% —
1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%
1.85 54.1% —
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 148.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Over 149.5 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3%
Over 151.5 1.82 55.0% —
Over 152.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Over 153.5 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%
Over 154.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 148.5 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1%
Under 149.5 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
Under 151.5 1.88 53.2% —
Under 152.5 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
Under 153.5 1.85 54.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Fonbet Leon
12.00 8.3% 12.00 8.3% 11.90 8.4%
— 1.01 99.0% —
Match center
Capiata Bulls
L L
2026-08-10 LNB 2025, Clausura
Capiata Bulls Deportivo Campoalto 101:73 Capiata Bulls
2026-08-06 LNB 2025, Clausura
Capiata Bulls San Alfonzo 60:53 Capiata Bulls
0 Wins
2 Losses
63.0 Scored
80.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Amambay
L L W W W
2026-08-10 LNB 2025, Clausura
Amambay 69:71 Deportivo San Jose Amambay
2026-08-07 LNB 2025, Clausura
Olimpia Kings 77:72 Amambay Amambay
2026-06-20 LNB 2026, Placement Playoffs
Amambay 78:69 Deportivo Campoalto Amambay
2026-06-17 LNB 2026, Placement Playoffs
Deportivo Campoalto 89:90 Amambay Amambay
2026-06-11 LNB 2026, Apertura, Placement Round
Amambay 110:79 San Alfonzo Amambay
3 Wins
2 Losses
83.8 Scored
77.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCapiata Bulls - Amambay

Capiata Bulls
0 matches total
Amambay
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Capiata Bulls vs Amambay?

By the PropickAI model, Amambay is favoured — about 89% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for Capiata Bulls vs Amambay?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Amambay. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

When does Capiata Bulls vs Amambay start?

August 13, 2026.