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Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup
Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
24.07.2026 07:15 UTC
Finished

Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup

Magnolia Hotshots - Meralco Bolts

Basketball
Magnolia Hotshots
Magnolia Hotshots
112 : 98
Finished
Meralco Bolts
Meralco Bolts

Magnolia Hotshots go head-to-head with Meralco Bolts on July 24, 2026 in the Philippines. PBA. Governor's Cup.

Recent form (W-D-L): Magnolia Hotshots 0-0-2, Meralco Bolts 2-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Meralco Bolts (odds1.92) Score 79:81 confidence 52% ✗ outcome missed
  • Magnoliya Khotshots: forma pp (0-2)
  • Meralko Bolts: forma VPPVP (2-3)
  • Model backs Meralko Bolts: probability 52% vs 52% on the line (odds 1.92)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Magnolia Hotshots - Meralco Bolts July 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Magnolia Hotshots. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0% 4 books · best price +7.6%
1 54.8%
2 45.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.07.2026 07:15 UTC
Market 1 90.4% @ 1.01 / 2 9.6% @ 9.50
Match center

Magnolia Hotshots - Meralco Bolts

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 53.7% fact: home hit / ROI 84.0% / Brier 0.428 / LogLoss 0.621
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 51.5% fact: home hit / ROI 84.0% / Brier 0.471 / LogLoss 0.664
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 189.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 190.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
1.85 54.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5%
1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%
1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2%
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%
1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4%
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 196.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 197.5 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%
Over 198.5 1.82 55.0% 1.95 51.3%
Over 201.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 202.5 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
Over 204.5 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%
Over 209.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 196.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 197.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 198.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 201.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 202.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 204.5 1.85 54.1%
Under 209.5 1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.01 99.0% 1.84 54.4%
2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 9.50 10.5% 1.87 53.5%
Match center
Magnolia Hotshots
L L
17.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Magnolia Hotshots 81:89 Blekuoter BossingBlekuoter Bossing
11.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Magnolia Hotshots 86:98 Feniks FuelmastersFeniks Fuelmasters
0 Wins
2 Losses
83.5 Scored
93.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Meralco Bolts
W W L
21.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Meralco Bolts 116:114 Blekuoter BossingBlekuoter Bossing
18.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Meralco Bolts 122:114 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
15.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Meralco Bolts 97:98 Feniks FuelmastersFeniks Fuelmasters
2 Wins
1 Losses
111.7 Scored
108.7 Conceded
67% Win percentage