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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila
28.07.2026 07:15 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 07:15 UTC
Finished

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila

Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing

Basketball
Phoenix Fuel Masters
Phoenix Fuel Masters
102 : 93
Finished
Blackwater Bossing
Blackwater Bossing
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Phoenix Fuel Masters — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Phoenix Fuel Masters): model 58% · market 92% Δ −34 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Phoenix Fuel Masters ✓ Pick59.7%
market92%
2 · Blackwater Bossing40.3%
market8%

Model estimate: win Phoenix Fuel Masters 59.7%, win Blackwater Bossing 40.3%. Model favourite — Phoenix Fuel Masters.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Phoenix Fuel Masters (odds1.50) Score 81:79 Under 195.5 (odds2.33) ✓ Handicap H2 +4.5 (odds1.85) ✓ confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Feniks Fuelmasters: forma PVVV (3-1)
  • • Blekuoter Bossing: forma PPVV (2)
  • • liniya na pik P1 1.53→1.50 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Feniks Fuelmasters: probability 58% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • • no edge over the line (-9 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 195.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 195.5 (odds 2.33)
  • • Handicap F2 +4.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Phoenix Fuel Masters.

Line favourite Fonbet: Phoenix Fuel Masters. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
  • Glicko: Phoenix Fuel Masters 59.7% / Blackwater Bossing 40.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 ✓ Pick 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 1.53 ↓ 1.01
Winner 2 2.50 ↑ 11.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT

Google AI updated28.07.2026 03:40 UTC
1 62% ✓ favourite
2 38%
Score105:99 Total points: Over 201.5 Bet:Handicap home AH1 (-3.5)
Per AI data Form:WWWWL / LLWWL
Claude updated28.07.2026 03:53 UTC
1 61% ✓ favourite
2 39%
Score101:96 Total points: Under 204.5 Bet:Under 204.5 (dop.: 1 at 1.59, AH2 +6.5)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 03:49 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated28.07.2026 06:57 UTC
1 59% ✓ favourite
2 41%
Score... Total points: ... Bet:...
Per AI data Form:... / ... H2H: ... Injuries:... Key:...
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 04:26 UTC
1 63% ✓ favourite
2 37%
Score98:92 Total points: Under 210.5 Bet:1 with handicap (-5.0)
Per AI data Form:3-2 / 2-3 H2H: 4-2

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 62% 38% 105:99 Over 201.5 Handicap home AH1 (-3.5)
Claude 61% 39% 101:96 Under 204.5 Under 204.5 (dop.: 1 at 1.59, AH2 +6.5)
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Kimi 59% 41% ... ... ...
GLM 5.2 63% 37% 98:92 Under 210.5

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 07:15 UTC
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Phoenix Fuel Masters 65%
📐 Math model Phoenix Fuel Masters 60%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Phoenix Fuel Masters - Blackwater Bossing

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 102:93
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.7% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.326 / LogLoss 0.517
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.9% fact: home hit / ROI 60.0% / Brier 0.426 / LogLoss 0.619
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Phoenix Fuel Masters 59.8% 59.7% market and model agree
Blackwater Bossing 40.2% 40.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 59.7% / 40.3% probabilities
Rating 1,461 / 1,290 Phoenix Fuel Masters / Blackwater Bossing
RD 224 / 202 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,012-1,909 / 885-1,694 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · no value · model 40.3%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 59.7%
Total
Over 195.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Over 196.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
1.92 52.1% —
1.90 52.6% —
— 2.00 50.0%
— 2.30 43.5%
1.88 53.2% 2.30 43.5%
1.90 52.6% —
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.93 51.8%
— 2.35 42.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 1.87 53.5%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.83 54.6%
— 1.80 55.6%
— 2.00 50.0%
— 1.93 51.8%

Total

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
Over 195.5 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 196.5 — 1.58 63.3%
Over 197.5 — 1.65 60.6%
Over 198.5 — 1.80 55.6%
Over 207.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 208.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 209.5 1.87 53.5% —
Over 210.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 211.5 1.95 51.3% —
Over 212.5 1.93 51.8% —
Over 215.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 207.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 208.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 209.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 210.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 211.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 212.5 1.87 53.5% —
Under 215.5 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.60 62.5% 1.01 99.0% 1.54 64.9%
2.35 42.6% 11.00 9.1% 2.32 43.1%
Match center
Phoenix Fuel Masters
L W W W
21.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Phoenix Fuel Masters 98:105 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
19.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Phoenix Fuel Masters 81:78 GinebraGinebra
15.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Phoenix Fuel Masters 98:97 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
11.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Phoenix Fuel Masters 98:86 Magnoliya KhotshotsMagnoliya Khotshots
3 Wins
1 Losses
93.8 Scored
91.5 Conceded
75% Win percentage
Blackwater Bossing
L L W W
24.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Blackwater Bossing 85:115 GinebraGinebra
21.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Blackwater Bossing 114:116 Meralko BoltsMeralko Bolts
17.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Blackwater Bossing 89:81 Magnoliya KhotshotsMagnoliya Khotshots
11.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Blackwater Bossing 131:108 Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
2 Wins
2 Losses
104.8 Scored
105.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage