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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay
02.08.2026 09:15 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 09:15 UTC
Finished

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts

Basketball
R
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
68 : 63
Finished
Meralco Bolts
Meralco Bolts

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters face Meralco Bolts on August 2, 2026 in the Philippines. Governor's Cup. Pasay.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 3-0-2, Meralco Bolts 2-0-3. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 60% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters — 60%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters): model 60% · market 66% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters ✓ Pick59.5%
market66%
2 · Meralco Bolts40.5%
market34%

Model estimate: win Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 59.5%, win Meralco Bolts 40.5%. Model favourite — Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters (odds1.77) Score 81:79 Under 208.5 (odds1.85) ✓ Handicap H1 +2.5 (odds1.85) ✗ confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt
  • • — Meralko Bolts (basketball)
  • • Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.: forma PVVPP (2-3)
  • • Meralko Bolts: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • liniya na pik P1 2.07→1.72 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
  • • Model backs Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.: probability 53% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Total: Under 208.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • • at line 208.5 (odds 1.85)
  • • Handicap F1 +2.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts August 2, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.70
  • Glicko: Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 59.5% / Meralco Bolts 40.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 ✓ Pick 65.9%
2 34.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.07 ↓ 1.65
Winner 2 1.67 ↑ 2.25

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 09:15 UTC
Market 1 65.9% @ 1.40 / 2 34.1% @ 2.70
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
Match center

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 68:63
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 59.5% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.328 / LogLoss 0.519
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.8% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.427 / LogLoss 0.620
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 59.5% 59.5% market and model agree
Meralco Bolts 40.5% 40.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 59.5% / 40.5% probabilities
Rating 1,506 / 1,256 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters / Meralco Bolts
RD 176 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,155-1,857 / 917-1,594 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.70 Fonbet · no value · model 40.5%
1 1.40 Fonbet · no value · model 59.5%
Total
Over 174.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 175.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% —
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% —
1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% —
1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% —
1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% —
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% —
1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% —
— — 2.20 45.5%
— — 1.43 69.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 174.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 175.5 — — 1.90 52.6%
Over 176.5 — — 1.85 54.1%
Over 177.5 — — 1.93 51.8%
Over 178.5 — — 1.80 55.6%
Over 179.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
Over 210.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 211.5 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% —
Over 212.5 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% —
Under 210.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 211.5 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% —
Under 212.5 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.65 60.6%
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
W W W L L
2026-07-31 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 98:97 Magnolia Hotshots
2026-07-26 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Ginebra San Miguel 99:110 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
2026-07-21 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Phoenix Fuel Masters 98:105 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralco Bolts
2026-07-11 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Blackwater Bossing 131:108 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
3 Wins
2 Losses
107.0 Scored
109.4 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Meralco Bolts
L L W W L
2026-07-31 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Meralco Bolts 75:84 Ginebra San Miguel Meralco Bolts
2026-07-24 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Magnolia Hotshots 112:98 Meralco Bolts Meralco Bolts
2026-07-21 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Meralco Bolts 116:114 Blackwater Bossing Meralco Bolts
2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralco Bolts Meralco Bolts
2026-07-15 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Meralco Bolts 97:98 Phoenix Fuel Masters Meralco Bolts
2 Wins
3 Losses
101.6 Scored
104.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRain Or Shine Elasto Painters - Meralco Bolts

Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters
2 matches total
Meralco Bolts
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Meralco Bolts: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Meralco Bolts 114:122 (2026-07-18) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 236 goals (114:122, 2026-07-18) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-18 PBA, Governors Cup 2026, Group B
Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters 114:122 Meralco Bolts
18.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Reyn-or-Shayn Peynt.
114:122
Meralko Bolts