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Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila
Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila
28.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Finished

Philippines. Governor's Cup. Manila

TNT Tropang 5G - Converge FiberXers

Basketball
TNT Tropang 5G
TNT Tropang 5G
110 : 107
Finished
Converge FiberXers
Converge FiberXers
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Converge FiberXers58%

Pure model vs market (2 · Converge FiberXers): model 51% · market 68% Δ −17 pp model estimates below the market

1 · TNT Tropang 5G42.2%
2 · Converge FiberXers ✓ Pick57.8%

Model estimate: win TNT Tropang 5G 42.2%, win Converge FiberXers 57.8%. Model favourite — Converge FiberXers.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Converge FiberXers (odds1.44) Score 79:81 Under 209.5 (odds2.33) Handicap H1 +5.5 (odds1.90) confidence 51% ✗ outcome missed
  • TNT Tropang 5G: forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • Converge FiberXers: forma PVVVP (3-2)
  • Model backs Converge FiberXers: probability 51% vs 69% on the line (odds 1.44)
  • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 209.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 209.5 (odds 2.33)
  • Handicap F1 +5.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction TNT Tropang 5G - Converge FiberXers July 28, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Converge FiberXers.

Line favourite Fonbet: Converge FiberXers. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.85 / 2 1.37
  • Glicko: TNT Tropang 5G 42.2% / Converge FiberXers 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 32.5%
2 ✓ Pick 67.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.80 ↓ 2.25
Winner 2 1.44 ↑ 1.57

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

TNT Tropang 5G
5-5LWLWWLWLWL
points for 94.7points against 96.2
Converge FiberXers

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 28.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Form 6 matches
Match center

TNT Tropang 5G - Converge FiberXers

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 3/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 110:107
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 57.8% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.668 / LogLoss 0.862
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.1% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.564 / LogLoss 0.757
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
TNT Tropang 5G 41.7% 42.2%
Converge FiberXers 58.3% 57.8% market and model agree
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 42.2% / 57.8% probabilities
Rating 1,415 / 1,511 TNT Tropang 5G / Converge FiberXers
RD 134 / 184 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,147-1,684 / 1,143-1,879 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.37 Fonbet · no value · model 57.8%
1 2.85 Fonbet · no value · model 42.2%
Total
Over 190.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Over 191.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.72 58.1%
1.80 55.6%
1.85 54.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.35 42.6%
2.23 44.8%
1.80 55.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.87 53.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 190.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 191.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 192.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 194.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 195.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 196.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 197.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 199.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 201.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 202.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 203.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 204.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 205.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 206.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 207.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 208.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 209.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 210.5 1.58 63.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
2.85 35.1% 2.19 45.7%
1.37 73.0% 1.61 62.1%
Match center
TNT Tropang 5G
L L W
25.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 106:111 Terrafirma Dip
22.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 87:103 Titan Ultra Giant RisersTitan Ultra Giant Risers
19.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
TNT Tropang 5G 106:103 Makao Blek BearsMakao Blek Bears
1 Wins
2 Losses
99.7 Scored
105.7 Conceded
33% Win percentage
Converge FiberXers
L W W W
22.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Converge FiberXers 122:128 San MigelSan Migel
17.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Converge FiberXers 149:124 Makao Blek BearsMakao Blek Bears
15.07 07:15 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Converge FiberXers 105:103 Terrafirma Dip
12.07 09:30 UTC Philippines: PBA Governors' Cup
Converge FiberXers 105:74 Titan Ultra Giant RisersTitan Ultra Giant Risers
3 Wins
1 Losses
120.3 Scored
107.3 Conceded
75% Win percentage