Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

27.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

27.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada

Basketball

Leones de Ponce

70 : 93

Finished

Santeros de Aguada

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Leones de Ponce — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Leones de Ponce): model 58% · market 60% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Leones de Ponce ✓ Pick58.8%

market60%

2 · Santeros de Aguada41.2%

market40%

Model estimate: win Leones de Ponce 58.8%, win Santeros de Aguada 41.2%. Model favourite — Leones de Ponce.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Leones de Ponce (odds1.46) Score 82:78 confidence 61% ✗ outcome missed

• Leones Ponse: forma PVVVV (4-1)
• Aguada Santeros: forma VPPPV (2-3)
• ochnye 1 (za 2)
• Model backs Leones Ponse: probability 61% vs 68% on the line (odds 1.46)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada July 27, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Leones de Ponce.

Line favourite market consensus: Leones de Ponce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / 2 2.36
Glicko: Leones de Ponce 58.8% / Santeros de Aguada 41.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.1%

1 ✓ Pick 60.1%

2 39.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 27.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 2

Match center

Leones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 70:93

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 58.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.692 / LogLoss 0.888

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 53.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.573 / LogLoss 0.767

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Leones de Ponce 58.9% 58.8% market and model agree

Santeros de Aguada 41.1% 41.2%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 58.8% / 41.2% probabilities

Rating 1,561 / 1,403 Leones de Ponce / Santeros de Aguada

RD 121 / 117 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,318-1,803 / 1,168-1,638 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.28 market consensus · no value · model 41.2%

1 1.55 market consensus · no value · model 58.8%

Total

Over 183.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Over 184.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
	1.80 55.6%	—
	1.85 54.1%	—
	1.88 53.2%	—
	1.82 55.0%	—
	1.89 52.9%	—
	1.89 52.9%	—
	1.88 53.2%	1.89 52.9%
	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%
	1.79 55.9%	1.81 55.3%
	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%
	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%
	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 183.5	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 184.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%
Over 185.5	1.87 53.5%	1.88 53.2%
Over 186.5	1.81 55.3%	1.82 55.0%
Over 187.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%
Over 188.5	1.89 52.9%	1.90 52.6%
Over 189.5	1.89 52.9%	—
Under 184.5	1.82 55.0%	—
Under 185.5	1.81 55.3%	—
Under 186.5	1.87 53.5%	—
Under 187.5	1.79 55.9%	—
Under 188.5	1.79 55.9%	—
Under 189.5	1.79 55.9%	—

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.56 64.1%	1.57 63.7%	1.52 65.8%
	2.23 44.8%	2.25 44.4%	2.36 42.4%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-0-4

2026-07-28 · Leones de Ponse 87:80 Aguada Santeros

2026-07-26 · Leones de Ponse 70:93 Aguada Santeros

2026-06-27 · Leones de Ponse 109:95 Aguada Santeros

2026-06-07 · Leones de Ponse 98:91 Aguada Santeros

2026-05-14 · Leones de Ponse 97:99 Aguada Santeros

Source: ruscore

Leones de Ponce

L W W W W

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 70:93 Aguada Santeros

18.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

16.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

14.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 95:91 San-Kherman

12.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 115:96 San-Kherman

4 Wins

1 Losses

95.2 Scored

92.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Santeros de Aguada

W L L L W

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:70 Leones Ponse

19.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

17.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

15.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

13.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:86 Kapitanes De Arekibo

2 Wins

3 Losses

94.0 Scored

91.2 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLeones de Ponce - Santeros de Aguada

Leones de Ponce

1 matches total

Santeros de Aguada

Leones de Ponce: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Santeros de Aguada: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Aguada Santeros 70:93 (25.07 22:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 163 goals (70:93, 25.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

25.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones Ponse

70:93

Aguada Santeros