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PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

25.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction

25.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Finished

PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Basketball

Santeros de Aguada

93 : 70

Finished

Leones de Ponce

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Santeros de Aguada — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Santeros de Aguada): model 39% · market 57% Δ −18 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Santeros de Aguada55.0%

2 · Leones de Ponce45.0%

Model estimate: win Santeros de Aguada 55.0%, win Leones de Ponce 45.0%. Model favourite — Santeros de Aguada.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Leones de Ponce (odds1.49) Score 77:83 confidence 67% ✗ outcome missed

• Aguada Santeros: forma PPPVV (2-3)
• Leones Ponse: forma VVVVP (4-1)
• ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
• Model backs Leones Ponse: probability 67% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
• legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce July 25, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santeros de Aguada.

Line favourite market consensus: Santeros de Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / 2 2.17
Glicko: Santeros de Aguada 55.0% / Leones de Ponce 45.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%

1 56.8%

2 43.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:3/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated25.07.2026 23:36 UTC

1 56% ✓ favourite

2 44%

Score97:94 Total points: Over 190.5 Bet:Handicap 2 (+4.5)

Per AI data Form:WWLWW / WWWWL H2H: 1:4

Claude updated25.07.2026 23:47 UTC

1 54% ✓ favourite

2 46%

Score93:88 Total points: Over 187.5 Bet:Win Aguady (1)

Per AI data Form:W-W-L-W-W / L-W-W-W-W

Qwen updated25.07.2026 23:45 UTC

1 78% ✓ favourite

2 7%

Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda

Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:1

AI	1	2	Score	Total points	Bet
Google AI	56%	44%	97:94	Over 190.5	Handicap 2 (+4.5)
Claude	54%	46%	93:88	Over 187.5	Win Aguady (1)
Qwen	78%	7%	2:0	Under 2.5	Win DAC Dunayska Streda

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Match center

Start 25.07.2026 22:00 UTC

Form 6 matches

H2H 1

🥊 Humans vs Machines

🤖 7 AI models Santeros de Aguada 63%

📐 Math model Santeros de Aguada 55%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 2 model / bookmakers

Flashscore match data source checked

Odds match data source checked

Line depth match data source checked

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview

More needed

Tournament Championat, Flashscore

Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries

Movement Line history

Post-match / PropickAI database

Score 93:70

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating

Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.0% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.406 / LogLoss 0.598

Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 65.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654

Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Santeros de Aguada 56.2% 55.0% market and model agree

Leones de Ponce 43.9% 45.0%

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model

P1 / P2 55.0% / 45.0% probabilities

Rating 1,286 / 1,687 Santeros de Aguada / Leones de Ponce

RD 120 / 124 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,046-1,526 / 1,438-1,935 strength interval

HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.12 market consensus · no value · model 45.0%

1 1.63 market consensus · no value · model 55.0%

Total

Over 176.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Over 177.5 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	—
1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	—
1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%	—
—	1.90 52.6%	—
—	1.83 54.6%	—
1.76 56.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.87 53.5%
1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	—
1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%	—
—	1.81 55.3%	—
—	1.87 53.5%	—
—	—	2.53 39.5%

Total

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
Over 176.5	1.82 55.0%	1.83 54.6%
Over 177.5	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%
Over 178.5	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5	—	1.83 54.6%
Over 180.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%
Over 181.5	—	1.85 54.1%
Under 176.5	1.86 53.8%	1.87 53.5%
Under 177.5	1.85 54.1%	1.86 53.8%
Under 178.5	—	1.87 53.5%
Under 179.5	—	1.87 53.5%
Under 180.5	1.83 54.6%	1.84 54.4%
Under 181.5	—	1.85 54.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Leon
	1.64 61.0%	1.65 60.6%	1.61 62.1%
	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.17 46.1%

Match center

Santeros de Aguada

L L L W W

19.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

17.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

15.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 93:100 Kapitanes De Arekibo

13.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 98:86 Kapitanes De Arekibo

11.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Santeros de Aguada 83:79 Kapitanes De Arekibo

2 Wins

3 Losses

92.0 Scored

93.0 Conceded

40% Win percentage

Leones de Ponce

W W W W L

18.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

16.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 98:92 San-Kherman

14.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 95:91 San-Kherman

12.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 115:96 San-Kherman

10.07 22:00 UTC PUERTO-RIKO: BSN - Playoff

Leones de Ponce 75:88 San-Kherman

4 Wins

1 Losses

96.2 Scored

91.8 Conceded

80% Win percentage

Match center

Full head-to-head historySanteros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada

1 matches total

Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Leones de Ponce: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Leones Ponse 91:98 (06.06 22:00 UTC+0) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 189 goals (91:98, 06.06 22:00 UTC+0) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

06.06 22:00 UTC+0 PUERTO-RIKO: BSN

Aguada Santeros

91:98

Leones Ponse