Superior Nasional
Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce
Santeros de Aguada face Leones de Ponce on July 26, 2026 in the Superior Nasional, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Santeros de Aguada 1-0-1, Leones de Ponce 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Santeras de Aguada: forma VP (1)
- • Leones de Ponse: forma VVVPP (3-2)
- • Model backs Santeras de Aguada: probability 58% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
- • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
- • Total: Under 179.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 179.5 (odds 2.03)
- • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce July 26, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.80 55.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | 1.87 53.5% | — | |
| 1.88 53.2% | — | — | |
| 1.82 55.0% | — | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% | — | |
| 1.84 54.4% | 1.85 54.1% | — | |
| 1.89 52.9% | 1.83 54.6% | — | |
| 1.79 55.9% | — | — | |
| 1.86 53.8% | — | — | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% | |
| — | — | 2.45 40.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 176.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 178.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Over 179.5 | 1.89 52.9% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| Over 181.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.83 54.6% |
| Under 176.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 177.5 | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Under 178.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Under 179.5 | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| Under 180.5 | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Under 181.5 | 1.86 53.8% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Bet365 | Bet365 (no latency) | Betcity | Betfair | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.68 59.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.16 46.3% | 11.00 9.1% | 2.06 48.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Santeros de Aguada
Kapitanes de Aresibo
Kapitanes de Aresibo
Leones de Ponce
San-German
San-German
San-German
San-German
San-German
Full head-to-head historySanteros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form