Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Superior Nasional
Superior Nasional International
26.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

Superior Nasional

International

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

International Basketball
Santeros de Aguada
Santeros de Aguada
136 : 77
Finished
Leones de Ponce
Leones de Ponce

Santeros de Aguada face Leones de Ponce on July 26, 2026 in the Superior Nasional, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Santeros de Aguada 1-0-1, Leones de Ponce 3-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Santeros de Aguada (odds1.57) Score 81:79 Under 179.5 (odds2.03) Handicap H2 +3.5 (odds1.85) confidence 58% ✓ outcome correct
  • Santeras de Aguada: forma VP (1)
  • Leones de Ponse: forma VVVPP (3-2)
  • Model backs Santeras de Aguada: probability 58% vs 64% on the line (odds 1.57)
  • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • Total: Under 179.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 179.5 (odds 2.03)
  • Handicap F2 +3.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce July 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Santeros de Aguada. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 91.6%
2 8.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 26.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 91.6% @ 1.01 / 2 8.4% @ 11.00
Match center

Santeros de Aguada - Leones de Ponce

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.9% fact: home hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.406 / LogLoss 0.599
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 52.0% fact: home hit / ROI 72.0% / Brier 0.461 / LogLoss 0.654
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.11 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 148.5 1.32 Fonbet · line only
Over 149.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.79 55.9% 1.87 53.5%
1.88 53.2%
1.82 55.0%
1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%
1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6%
1.79 55.9%
1.86 53.8%
2.45 40.8%
2.45 40.8%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 176.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Over 179.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6%
Over 180.5 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
Over 181.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6%
Under 176.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5%
Under 177.5 1.81 55.3%
Under 178.5 1.86 53.8%
Under 179.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 180.5 1.83 54.6%
Under 181.5 1.86 53.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Bet365 Bet365 (no latency) Betcity Betfair Fonbet Leon
1.69 59.2% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.68 59.5%
2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.03 49.3% 2.16 46.3% 11.00 9.1% 2.06 48.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 5-0-5
2026-07-26 · Aguada Santeros 93:70 Leones de Ponse
2026-06-27 · Aguada Santeros 95:109 Leones de Ponse
2026-06-07 · Aguada Santeros 91:98 Leones de Ponse
2026-05-14 · Aguada Santeros 99:97 Leones de Ponse
2026-04-26 · Aguada Santeros 88:93 Leones de Ponse
Source: ruscore
Santeros de Aguada
W L
20.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Santeros de Aguada 101:94 Kapitanes de AresiboKapitanes de Aresibo
18.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Santeros de Aguada 81:89 Kapitanes de AresiboKapitanes de Aresibo
1 Wins
1 Losses
91.0 Scored
91.5 Conceded
50% Win percentage
Leones de Ponce
W W W L L
19.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 100:86 San-GermanSan-German
17.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 98:90 San-GermanSan-German
15.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 94:91 San-GermanSan-German
13.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 91:95 San-GermanSan-German
11.07 00:00 UTC Superior Nasional
Leones de Ponce 75:88 San-GermanSan-German
3 Wins
2 Losses
91.6 Scored
90.0 Conceded
60% Win percentage