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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
24.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
24.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Atlanta - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Basketball
Atlanta
Atlanta
82 : 80
Finished
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)

Atlanta take on Phoenix Mercury (w) on May 24, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atlanta 1-0-0, Phoenix Mercury (w) 0-0-2. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta - Phoenix Mercury (w) May 24, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atlanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / 2 2.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.9%
1 67.4%
2 32.6%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: Atlanta Drim (Zh)

Main outcome Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Atlanta
#6GP 2313-10PPG 87.7OPP 84.4
Phoenix Mercury (w)
#7GP 3212-20

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

30Wins15
83.7Points on average78.3

Head-to-head matches: 45 · average total 162.0 (points)

Team form

Atlanta
7-3LWLWWWWWLW
points for 93.2points against 90.4
Phoenix Mercury (w)
4-6LLLLWWWLWL
points for 85.9points against 92.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Getvey Central Arena (Kolledzh Park)
Referee Simmons C. 🇺🇸 - Williams M. 🇺🇸 - Uilyams S. 🇺🇸
Start 24.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 67.4% @ 1.40 / 2 32.6% @ 2.90
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Atlanta - Phoenix Mercury (w)

Array

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 82:80
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 142.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Over 143.5 1.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.52 65.8%
2.50 40.0%
2.02 49.5%
1.55 64.5%
1.40 71.4%
1.38 72.5%
2.02 49.5%
1.33 75.2%
1.47 68.0%
1.41 70.9%
1.42 70.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.45 69.0%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 142.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 143.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 144.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 145.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 146.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 147.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 148.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 149.5 1.73 57.8%
Over 150.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 151.5 1.82 55.0%
Over 152.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 153.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 154.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 155.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 156.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 157.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 158.5 2.40 41.7%
Over 159.5 2.65 37.7%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
2.90 34.5%
Match center
Atlanta
W
22.05 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta 86:69 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Losses
86.0 Scored
69.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L L
22.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 88:97 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
20.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 90:98 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
2 Losses
89.0 Scored
97.5 Conceded
0% Win percentage