Atlanta Drim (Zh) face Finiks Merkyuri (Zh) on August 5, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atlanta Drim (Zh) 3-0-2, Finiks Merkyuri (Zh) 3-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 61% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Atlanta Drim (Zh) — 61%
61%1
1 · Atlanta Drim (Zh)✓ Pick61.3%
market70%
2 · Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)38.7%
market30%
Model estimate: win Atlanta Drim (Zh) 61.3%, win Finiks Merkyuri (Zh) 38.7%. Model favourite — Atlanta Drim (Zh).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
•Model backs Atlanta Drim (Zh): probability 61% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.63)
•no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atlanta Drim (Zh) - Finiks Merkyuri (Zh) August 5, 2026
Basketball math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atlanta Drim (Zh).
Line favourite market consensus: Atlanta Drim (Zh). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / 2 3.40
Glicko: Atlanta Drim (Zh) 61.3% / Finiks Merkyuri (Zh) 38.7%
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner
bookmaker margin 5.2%
3 books · best price +1.5%
1 ✓ Pick70.3%
229.7%
Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
%
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Match result
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
70%
1.39
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
30%
3.40
Total
Over 179.5
50%
1.90
Under 179.5
50%
1.90
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
🏆
Standing in the tournament
League table
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
#6GP 2313-10PPG 87.7OPP 84.4
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
#7GP 3212-20
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
⚔
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
30Wins15
83.7Points on average78.3
Head-to-head matches: 45 · average total 162.0 (points)
Team form
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
7-3LWLWWWWWLW
points for 93.2points against 90.4
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
4-6LLLLWWWLWL
points for 85.9points against 92.3
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Match center
Start05.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market1 71.0% @ 1.39 / 2 29.0% @ 3.40
Form6 matches
H2H1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math modelAtlanta Drim (Zh)61%
💹 MarketAtlanta Drim (Zh)70%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.
Form4/4
recent games
H2H2
head-to-head matches
Market0
model / bookmakers
Flashscorematch data
source checked
Oddsmatch data
source checked
Present in data
FormMatchParticipantsH2HOverview
More needed
MarketBetBoom, Flashscore, odds
TournamentChampionat, Flashscore
Lineup / squadChampionat, Injuries
LineBetBoom, odds
MovementLine history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score96:82
Events0
Statistics0
Lineups0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
OptionSignalPrediction / actualRating
Glicko-2: base favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 61.3% fact: home
hit / Brier 0.300 / LogLoss 0.490
Glicko-2: calibrated favouriteAudit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: form, table
home - 54.5% fact: home
hit / Brier 0.414 / LogLoss 0.607
Market and Glicko
Basketball math model.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Atlanta Drim (Zh)-61.3%model pick
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)-38.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Basketball math model
P1 / P261.3% / 38.7%
probabilities
Rating1,699 / 1,399
Atlanta / Phoenix Mercury (w)
RD115 / 128
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,469-1,930 / 1,142-1,655
strength interval
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.21
market consensus · no value · model 38.7%
11.36
market consensus · no value · model 61.3%
Total
Over 179.51.90
market consensus · line only
Over 180.51.89
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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