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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
04.08.2026 02:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w)

Basketball
Golden State Valkyries (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w)
96 : 79
Finished
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)

Golden State Valkyries (w) meet Toronto (w) on August 4, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Golden State Valkyries (w) 3-0-2, Toronto (w) 0-0-5. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 84% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Golden State Valkyries (w) — 84%

Pure model vs market (1 · Golden State Valkyries (w)): model 62% · market 85% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Golden State Valkyries (w) ✓ Pick83.9%
market85%
2 · Toronto (w)16.1%
market15%

Model estimate: win Golden State Valkyries (w) 83.9%, win Toronto (w) 16.1%. Model favourite — Golden State Valkyries (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Golden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w) August 4, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Golden State Valkyries (w).

Line favourite market consensus: Golden State Valkyries (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.12 / 2 6.90
  • Glicko: Golden State Valkyries (w) 83.9% / Toronto (w) 16.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.5% 2 books
1 ✓ Pick 85.5%
2 14.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Baltbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Golden State Valkyries (w)
#3GP 2013-7
Toronto (w)
#11GP 2310-13PPG 89.7OPP 92.0

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Golden State Valkyries (w)
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
points for 79.9points against 75.5
Toronto (w)
3-2WLLWW
points for 88.3points against 85.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 86.0% @ 1.12 / 2 14.0% @ 6.90
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
Match center

Golden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 96:79
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 83.9% fact: home hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.052 / LogLoss 0.176
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.5% fact: home hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.266 / LogLoss 0.453
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.5% fact: home hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.266 / LogLoss 0.453
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.5% fact: home hit / ROI 12.0% / Brier 0.266 / LogLoss 0.453
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Golden State Valkyries (w) 85.5% 83.9% market and model agree
Toronto (w) 14.5% 16.1%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 83.9% / 16.1% probabilities
Rating 1,811 / 1,446 Golden State Valkyries (w) / Toronto (w)
RD 92 / 86 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,628-1,994 / 1,274-1,619 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.60 market consensus · no value · model 16.1%
1 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 83.9%
Total
Over 164 1.90 market consensus · line only
Over 164.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.88 53.2% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.92 52.1% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Leon
Over 164 — 1.90 52.6%
Over 164.5 1.95 51.3% —
Over 165.5 1.93 51.8% —
Over 167.5 1.87 53.5% —
Over 168.5 — 1.88 53.2%
Over 169.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 164 — 1.90 52.6%
Under 164.5 1.85 54.1% —
Under 165.5 1.87 53.5% —
Under 167.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 168.5 — 1.93 51.8%
Under 169.5 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Leon
1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%
6.30 15.9% 6.90 14.5%
Match center
Golden State Valkyries (w)
W L L W W
03.08 00:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 96:79 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
30.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 89:91 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 82:90 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
18.07 22:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 74:69 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
15.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (w) 88:75 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
85.8 Scored
80.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Toronto (w)
L L L L
30.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:100 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:100 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 83:109 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 92:111 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
0 Wins
4 Losses
90.3 Scored
105.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGolden State Valkyries (w) - Toronto (w)

Golden State Valkyries (w)
2 matches total
Toronto (w)
Golden State Valkyries (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toronto (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Golden State Valkyries (Zh) 96:79 (03.08 00:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 175 goals (96:79, 03.08 00:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

03.08 00:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (Zh)
96:79
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
08.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Golden State Valkyries (Zh)
83:75
Toronto Tempo (Zh)