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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Atlanta - Las Vegas Aces

Basketball
Atlanta
Atlanta
87 : 109
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Atlanta face Las Vegas Aces on August 3, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Atlanta 5-0-0, Las Vegas Aces 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Las Vegas Aces (odds1.82) Score 79:81 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • Atlanta Drim (Zh): forma VVVVV (5-0)
  • Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): forma PVVPV (3-2)
  • Model backs Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): probability 53% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.82)
  • no edge over the line (-3 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Atlanta - Las Vegas Aces August 3, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Atlanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / 2 2.17

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8% 3 books
1 55.0%
2 45.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Atlanta
55%
1.73
Las Vegas Aces
45%
2.17
Handicap
Atlanta (1.5)
50%
1.90
Las Vegas Aces (1.5)
50%
1.90
Total
Over 183.5
50%
1.90
Under 183.5
50%
1.90

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Atlanta
#2GP 3119-12
Las Vegas Aces
#3GP 3222-10

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Atlanta
7-3WLWWWWWLWL
points for 92.3points against 89.5
Las Vegas Aces
5-5LWLWWLWWLL
points for 92.1points against 93.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 55.6% @ 1.73 / 2 44.4% @ 2.17
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Match center

Atlanta - Las Vegas Aces

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 54.5% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.595 / LogLoss 0.789
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 51.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.537 / LogLoss 0.730
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.12 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 181.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 183.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
1.95 51.3%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 181.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 184.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 185 1.93 51.8%
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.92 52.1%
Under 181.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 184.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 185 1.88 53.2%
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.89 52.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.72 58.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8%
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1%
Match center
Atlanta
W W W W W
31.07 23:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta 98:89 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
29.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta 82:81 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
19.07 18:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta 93:91 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta 111:92 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
13.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Atlanta 101:92 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
97.0 Scored
89.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Las Vegas Aces
L W W L W
31.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 83:84 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
31.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 104:99 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
29.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 98:83 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
22.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 99:100 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Las Vegas Aces 109:83 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
98.6 Scored
89.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAtlanta - Las Vegas Aces

Atlanta
0 matches total
Las Vegas Aces
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history