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Chicago — Connecticut

Basketball 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Favourite Chicago best odds 1.50

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Chicago - Connecticut

Basketball
Chicago
Chicago
94 : 88
Finished
Connecticut
Connecticut

Chicago go head-to-head with Connecticut on July 30, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago 2-0-3, Connecticut 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chicago (odds1.60) Score 81:79 confidence 55% ✓ outcome correct
  • Chikago Skay (Zh): forma PPVVP (2-3)
  • Konnektikut San (Zh): forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
  • Model backs Chikago Skay (Zh): probability 55% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.60)
  • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chicago - Connecticut July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Chicago. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / 2 2.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.1% 3 books · best price +2.0%
1 65.3%
2 34.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Chicago
#5GP 3614-22
Connecticut
#7GP 349-25

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Chicago
5-5LWWLWLLLWW
points for 88.8points against 90.4
Connecticut
2-8LLLLLWLLWL
points for 76.8points against 90.0

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 65.1% @ 1.50 / 2 34.9% @ 2.80
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
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Match center

Chicago - Connecticut

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 64.6% fact: home hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.251 / LogLoss 0.437
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 55.8% fact: home hit / ROI 50.0% / Brier 0.390 / LogLoss 0.583
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.72 market consensus · line only
1 1.47 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 171.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 174.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 171.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 174.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 175.5 1.87 53.5% 1.86 53.8%
Over 176 1.89 52.9%
Over 176.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
Over 177.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 178.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 171.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 174.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 175.5 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6%
Under 176.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 177.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 178.5 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0%
2.80 35.7% 2.60 38.5% 2.77 36.1%
Match center
Chicago
L L W W L
22.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Chicago 94:95 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
19.07 18:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Chicago 91:93 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Chicago 96:82 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
15.07 14:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Chicago 95:90 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
12.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Chicago 91:96 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
93.4 Scored
91.2 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Connecticut
L L W W W
28.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 84:92 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
22.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 88:123 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
19.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 96:83 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
18.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 96:83 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
14.07 13:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Connecticut 90:87 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
90.8 Scored
93.6 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Chicago - Connecticut

Chicago
1 matches total
Connecticut
Chicago: 0 (0%)
Connecticut: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Chikago Skay (Zh) 85:80 (05.06 21:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 165 points (85:80, 05.06 21:30 UTC) most points in a game

Match history

05.06 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Chikago Skay (Zh)
85:80
Konnektikut San (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Chicago vs Connecticut start?

July 30, 2026.