WNBA. Outrights
Chicago - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Chicago take on Phoenix Mercury (w) on August 4, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Chicago 3-0-2, Phoenix Mercury (w) 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Chikago Skay (Zh): forma VVPPV (3-2)
- • Finiks Merkyuri (Zh): forma PVVPP (2-3)
- • ochnye 1-0 (za 1)
- • Model backs Chikago Skay (Zh): probability 53% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.81)
- • no edge over the line (-2 pp) — informational only.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Chicago - Phoenix Mercury (w) August 4, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / 2 1.82
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Market consensus
Forecast by market
Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
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Chicago - Phoenix Mercury (w)
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| Over 175.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 177.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 178.5 | 1.87 53.5% | 1.93 51.8% |
| Over 179.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.94 51.6% |
| Over 180.5 | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 181.5 | — | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 175.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 177.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 178.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 179.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 180.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.04 49.0% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% |
Chicago
Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Atlanta Drim (Zh)
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Konnektikut San (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyChicago - Phoenix Mercury (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Chicago - Phoenix Mercury (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form