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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

LA Sparks - NY Liberty

Basketball
LA Sparks
LA Sparks
109 : 113
Finished
NY Liberty
NY Liberty

LA Sparks face NY Liberty on July 29, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): LA Sparks 0-0-5, NY Liberty 2-0-3. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2NY Liberty (odds1.50) Score 78:82 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh): forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): forma VVPPP (2-3)
  • Model backs Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): probability 63% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.50)
  • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction LA Sparks - NY Liberty July 29, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: NY Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / 2 1.48

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 3 books · best price +2.8%
1 34.0%
2 66.0%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Standing in the tournament

League table

LA Sparks
#6GP 3212-20
NY Liberty
#4GP 3420-14

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

30Wins36
76.8Points on average78.0

Head-to-head matches: 66 · average total 154.7 (points)

Team form

LA Sparks
6-4WLWWLWWLLW
points for 93.2points against 90.5
NY Liberty
7-3LWWWLWWWWL
points for 97.8points against 95.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:4/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Kimi

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 40%
2 60% ✓ favourite
Score86:90 Total points: Over 174.5 Bet:Total Over 174.5
Per AI data Form:LLLLL / LWWWW H2H: 1:0
Claude updated28.07.2026 01:09 UTC
1 38%
2 62% ✓ favourite
Score88:93 Total points: Under 186.5 Bet:Handicap 1 (+7.5)
Qwen updated28.07.2026 01:06 UTC
1 78% ✓ favourite
2 7%
Score2:0 Total points: Under 2.5 Bet:Win DAC Dunayska Streda
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
GLM 5.2 updated28.07.2026 01:24 UTC
1 35%
2 65% ✓ favourite
Score82:88 Total points: Over 165.5 Bet:2 with handicap (-4.5)

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total points Bet
Google AI 40% 60% 86:90 Over 174.5 Total Over 174.5
Claude 38% 62% 88:93 Under 186.5 Handicap 1 (+7.5)
Qwen 78% 7% 2:0 Under 2.5 Win DAC Dunayska Streda
GLM 5.2 35% 65% 82:88 Over 165.5

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Match center
Start 29.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 34.6% @ 2.80 / 2 65.4% @ 1.48
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

LA Sparks - NY Liberty

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 109:113
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 65.8% fact: away hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.234 / LogLoss 0.419
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 56.3% fact: away hit / ROI 48.0% / Brier 0.382 / LogLoss 0.574
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.45 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 182.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Over 183 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.90 52.6%
Over 183 1.92 52.1%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 184 1.90 52.6%
Under 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4%
Under 183 1.89 52.9%
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 184 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.74 36.5%
1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
LA Sparks
L L L L L
22.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 82:86 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
19.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 82:90 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 82:96 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
15.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 87:96 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
13.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 92:101 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
85.0 Scored
93.8 Conceded
0% Win percentage
NY Liberty
W W L L L
22.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 95:94 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 99:98 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 88:108 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
12.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 91:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
11.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
NY Liberty 85:90 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
91.6 Scored
96.6 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLA Sparks - NY Liberty

LA Sparks
0 matches total
NY Liberty
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does LA Sparks vs NY Liberty start?

July 29, 2026.