WNBA. Outrights
Minnesota - Connecticut
Minnesota go head-to-head with Connecticut on July 5, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.
Recent form (W-D-L): Minnesota 3-0-2, Connecticut 0-0-5. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Minnesota - Connecticut July 5, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.06 / 2 9.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Betcity line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Standing in the tournament
League table
Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.
Basketball stats
Head-to-head and team form
Head-to-head
Team form
Team stats
Team totals distribution
Over 70.5 - 100.5
Over 101.5 - 130.5
Points by period
Points per game: Minnesota 47.2 / Connecticut 40.1
Points per game: Minnesota 43.1 / Connecticut —
Lineups and availability
Injuries and lineups
- Dorka Juhasz F • SprainOutJuhasz (foot) is out for Friday's game against the Liberty.
- Napheesa Collier F • SprainOutCollier (ankle) has been cleared to resume practices with the Lynx, the team announced Wednesday.
- Emma Cechova F • SurgeryOutCechova (knee) was diagnosed with a torn ACL in her right knee and will undergo surgery, Meghan L. Hall of USA Today reports. She will miss the remainder of the season.
- Ashlon Jackson GOutout
- Hailey Van Lith GOutVan Lith (coach's decision) is out for Thursday's game against the Wings.
Injury and player availability data: ESPN. For reference.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 2
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Totals and pace
Team scoring
- Scores: 94.5
- Concedes: 80.9
- Scores: 76.9
- Concedes: 86.8
Average scoring and pace — from matches played in our database. For reference, not a prediction.
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Minnesota - Connecticut
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.90 52.6% | |
| 1.90 52.6% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| Over 167.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 167.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 1.06 94.3% | |
| 9.20 10.9% |
Minnesota
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
Dallas Vings (Zh)
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
Connecticut
Dallas Vings (Zh)
Indiana Fiver (Zh)
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
Chikago Skay (Zh)
Full head-to-head history: Minnesota - Connecticut
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Minnesota - Connecticut breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Frequently asked questions
When does Minnesota vs Connecticut start?
July 5, 2026.