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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Minnesota - LA Sparks

Basketball
Minnesota
Minnesota
96 : 87
Finished
LA Sparks
LA Sparks

Minnesota take on LA Sparks on July 15, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Minnesota 3-0-2, LA Sparks 3-0-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnesota - LA Sparks July 15, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Minnesota. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.15 / 2 5.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 3 books
1 83.3%
2 16.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Minnesota
#1GP 3427-7
LA Sparks
#6GP 3112-19

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

70Wins45
78.4Points on average74.3

Head-to-head matches: 115 · average total 152.7 (points)

Team form

Minnesota
9-1WWWWWWWLWW
points for 98.3points against 88.9
LA Sparks
2-8LLLLLLWLWL
points for 89.5points against 94.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 15.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 83.7% @ 1.15 / 2 16.3% @ 5.90
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Minnesota - LA Sparks

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.77 market consensus · line only
1 1.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 180.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
Over 181.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 180.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8%
Over 181.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 182 1.90 52.6%
Over 182.5 1.88 53.2% 1.88 53.2% 1.89 52.9%
Over 183 1.92 52.1%
Under 180.5 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%
Under 181.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
Under 182 1.90 52.6%
Under 182.5 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0%
5.70 17.5% 5.70 17.5% 5.90 17.0%
Match center
Minnesota
W W W L L
13.07 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 104:100 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
11.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 90:85 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
08.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 86:80 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
05.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 89:90 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
03.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 86:99 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
91.0 Scored
90.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
LA Sparks
L W W L W
13.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 92:101 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
11.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 102:87 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
09.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 106:92 Indiana Fiver (Zh)Indiana Fiver (Zh)
06.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 64:82 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
14.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 111:102 Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
3 Wins
2 Losses
95.0 Scored
92.8 Conceded
60% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMinnesota - LA Sparks

Minnesota
0 matches total
LA Sparks
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history