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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
08.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
08.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Minnesota - Las Vegas Aces

Basketball
Minnesota
Minnesota
98 : 87
Finished
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces

Minnesota take on Las Vegas Aces on August 8, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Minnesota 5-0-0, Las Vegas Aces 3-0-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 63% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Minnesota — 63%

Pure model vs market (1 · Minnesota): model 52% · market 64% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Minnesota ✓ Pick63.3%
market64%
2 · Las Vegas Aces36.7%
market36%

Model estimate: win Minnesota 63.3%, win Las Vegas Aces 36.7%. Model favourite — Minnesota.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Minnesota (odds1.49) Score 82:78 confidence 63% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Minnesota Links (Zh): forma PVVVV (4-1)
  • • Las Vegas Eyses (Zh): forma VVPVV (4-1)
  • • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • • Model backs Minnesota Links (Zh): probability 63% vs 67% on the line (odds 1.49)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Minnesota - Las Vegas Aces August 8, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Minnesota.

Line favourite market consensus: Minnesota. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / 2 2.71
  • Glicko: Minnesota 63.3% / Las Vegas Aces 36.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.9% 5 books
1 ✓ Pick 64.2%
2 35.8%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Chekhova, Emma — Knee Bibbi, Khloi — Personalnyy fol Barker, Dzhania — Raund Parker, Shayenn — Concussion

Source: gismo_stats

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Minnesota
64%
1.49
Las Vegas Aces
36%
2.71
Total
Over 180.5
50%
1.94
Under 180.5
50%
1.96

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Minnesota
#1GP 3225-7
Las Vegas Aces
#2GP 3122-9

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

63Wins38
79.3Points on average75.7

Head-to-head matches: 101 · average total 155.0 (points)

Team form

Minnesota
9-1WWWWWWWWWL
points for 97.6points against 89.7
Las Vegas Aces
6-4WLWLWWLWWL
points for 95.6points against 88.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Minnesota
  • Emma ChekhovaOut
    Knee
  • Khloi BibbiOut
Las Vegas Aces
  • Dzhania BarkerOut
  • Shayenn ParkerOut
    Concussion

Injury and absence data - for reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 08.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 64.5% @ 1.49 / 2 35.5% @ 2.71
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Minnesota 63%
💹 Market Minnesota 64%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Minnesota - Las Vegas Aces

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 98:87
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 63.3% fact: home hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.269 / LogLoss 0.457
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 55.3% fact: home hit / ROI 49.0% / Brier 0.399 / LogLoss 0.592
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Minnesota 64.2% 63.3% market and model agree
Las Vegas Aces 35.8% 36.7%
1X2: 5 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 63.3% / 36.7% probabilities
Rating 1,887 / 1,896 Minnesota / Las Vegas Aces
RD 145 / 108 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,597-2,178 / 1,680-2,111 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.66 market consensus · no value · model 36.7%
1 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 63.3%
Total
Over 15.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Over 16.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
— — 1.92 52.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 2.08 48.1%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% —
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.86 53.8%
— — 1.72 58.1%
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.82 55.0%
— — 1.72 58.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
Over 180.5 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Over 181.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
Over 182.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 183.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5% —
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6% —
Over 186.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 180.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 181.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 182.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 183.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 184.5 1.93 51.8% —
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6% —
Under 186.5 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1% 1.49 67.1%
2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.65 37.7% 2.71 36.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-0-4
2026-06-14 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 97:100 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
2025-09-05 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 87:97 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
2025-08-02 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 111:58 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
2025-07-25 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 109:78 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
2025-06-18 · Minnesota Links (Zh) 76:62 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Minnesota
W W W W W
2026-08-02 WNBA 2026
Minnesota Minnesota 108:100 Indiana
2026-07-29 WNBA 2026
Minnesota Minnesota 100:93 Toronto Tempo
2026-07-19 WNBA 2026
Minnesota Minnesota 101:93 Portland Fire
2026-07-15 WNBA 2026
Minnesota Minnesota 96:87 LA Sparks
2026-07-14 WNBA 2026
Minnesota Minnesota 104:100 Phoenix
5 Wins
0 Losses
101.8 Scored
94.6 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMinnesota - Las Vegas Aces

Minnesota
3 matches total
Las Vegas Aces
Minnesota: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Las Vegas Aces: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Minnesota 58:111 (2025-08-02) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 197 goals (100:97, 2026-06-14) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-06-14 WNBA 2026
Las Vegas Aces 100:97 Minnesota
2025-09-05 WNBA 2026
Las Vegas Aces 97:87 Minnesota
2025-08-02 WNBA 2026
Las Vegas Aces 58:111 Minnesota