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AI verdict

AI pick NY Liberty win probability ~75% confidence High best odds 1.27

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to NY Liberty. Full breakdown below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
29.08.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
29.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

NY Liberty vs Chicago — Basketball prediction

Basketball
NY Liberty
NY Liberty
85 : 66
Finished
Chicago
Chicago

NY Liberty host Chicago in basketball, in WNBA. Outrights, on 29 August 2026. Our Glicko-2 rating model leans to NY Liberty: roughly 75% to win. Sportsbook prices (6 books) put that result at roughly 76%.

Latest form: NY Liberty 3 won and 2 lost; Chicago 3 won and 2 lost. Glicko ratings: NY Liberty 1742, Chicago 1496, a gap of 246 points. The two have met 2 times lately, and the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model and the market consensus broadly agree on this match. Model confidence in the favourite is high. That is a 1-point gap to the market. For reliability the safer lean is a protected market on NY Liberty (double chance, say) rather than the outright win alone. Key markers: an edge of 246 Glicko rating points, the model's 75% for NY Liberty. Below on this page: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 NY Liberty — 75%

1 · NY Liberty ✓ Pick75.1%
market 76%
2 · Chicago24.9%
market 24%

Model estimate: win NY Liberty 75.1%, win Chicago 24.9%. Model favourite — NY Liberty.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Match winner — NY Liberty

Model confidence 78% ~88% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1NY Liberty (odds1.26) Score 84:76 confidence 75% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): forma PVPVV (3-2)
  • • Chikago Skay (Zh): forma PPVVV (3-2)
  • • ochnye 1 (za 2)
  • • Model backs Nyu-York Liberti (Zh): probability 75% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.26)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NY Liberty - Chicago August 29, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like NY Liberty.

Line favourite market consensus: NY Liberty. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / 2 4.40
  • Glicko: NY Liberty 75.1% / Chicago 24.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0% 6 books · best price +1.6%
1 ✓ Pick 76.2%
2 23.8%

Odds source: consensus of 6 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon, Pinnacle). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Saballi, Satu — Ochnye Dzhekson, Rikea — Knee Diggins-Smit, Skaylar — Knee

Source: gismo_stats

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
NY Liberty
77%
1.27
Chicago
23%
4.40
Total
Over 179.5
50%
1.90
Under 179.5
50%
1.92

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

NY Liberty
#3GP 3823-15
Chicago
#5GP 3915-24

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

38Wins42
79.2Points on average78.4

Head-to-head matches: 80 · average total 157.5 (points)

Team form

NY Liberty
7-3WWWWLWWLWL
points for 90.6points against 86.8
Chicago
4-6LWLLLWWWLL
points for 86.0points against 90.8

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Absences

Injuries and absences

NY Liberty
  • Satu SaballiOut
Chicago
  • Rikea DzheksonOut
    Knee
  • Skaylar Diggins-SmitOut
    Knee

Injury and absence data - for reference.

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Match center
Start 29.08.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 77.6% @ 1.27 / 2 22.4% @ 4.40
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model NY Liberty 75%
💹 Market NY Liberty 76%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

NY Liberty - Chicago

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 85:66
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 75.1% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.124 / LogLoss 0.287
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.0% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.319 / LogLoss 0.510
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.0% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.319 / LogLoss 0.510
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 60.0% fact: home hit / ROI 27.0% / Brier 0.319 / LogLoss 0.510
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
NY Liberty 76.2% 75.1% market and model agree
Chicago 23.8% 24.9%
1X2: 6 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 75.1% / 24.9% probabilities
Rating 1,742 / 1,496 NY Liberty / Chicago
RD 94 / 97 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,553-1,930 / 1,301-1,690 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.11 market consensus · no value · model 24.9%
1 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 75.1%
Total
Over 12.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Over 13.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
— — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.84 54.4%
— — 2.02 49.5%
1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.95 51.3% — —
1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% —
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —
1.85 54.1% — —
— — 1.84 54.4%
— — 1.92 52.1%
— — 1.75 57.1%
— — 1.95 51.3%
— — 1.81 55.3%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 12.5 — — 1.76 56.8%
Over 13.5 — — 2.07 48.3%
Over 168.5 — — 1.30 76.9%
Over 169.5 — — 1.33 75.2%
Over 170.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
Over 171.5 — — 1.41 70.9%
Over 172.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
Over 173.5 — — 1.50 66.7%
Over 178.5 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% —
Over 179.5 1.90 52.6% — —
Over 180.5 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% —
Under 178.5 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% —
Under 179.5 1.90 52.6% — —
Under 180.5 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon Pinnacle
1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.23 81.0%
4.00 25.0% 4.30 23.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.96 25.3% 4.40 22.7%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2
2026-08-29 · Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 85:66 Chikago Skay (Zh)
2026-08-19 · Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 86:93 Chikago Skay (Zh)
2026-07-22 · Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 95:94 Chikago Skay (Zh)
2026-06-18 · Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 96:95 Chikago Skay (Zh)
2025-09-12 · Nyu-York Liberti (Zh) 91:86 Chikago Skay (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Match stats

52% Ball possession 48%
43 2-kh broskov vsego 48
16 2-kh realizovano 21
27 3-kh broskov vsego 18
11 3-kh realizovano 4
22 Shtrafnykh broskov vsego 18
20 Shtrafnykh broskov realizovano 12
44 Vsego podborov 29
8 Podbory v napadenii 3
36 Podbory v zaschite 26
17 Rezultativnye peredachi 18
8 Blok-shoty 5
11 Poteri 11
5 Perekhvaty 4
20 Fouls 23
2 Half-auty 4
0 Komandnye poteri myacha 0
7 Komandnye podbory 12
35:35 Vremya v liderstve 3:11
1 Komanda lidiruet 1
24 Maksimalnoe preimuschestvo 5
Source: ruscore
NY Liberty
W W W W
2026-08-22 WNBA 2026
NY Liberty NY Liberty 109:102 Indiana
2026-08-14 WNBA 2026
NY Liberty NY Liberty 85:81 LA Sparks
2026-08-05 WNBA 2026
NY Liberty NY Liberty 92:86 Seattle
2026-08-03 WNBA 2026
NY Liberty NY Liberty 95:83 Seattle
4 Wins
0 Losses
95.3 Scored
88.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Chicago
L W L L L
2026-08-25 WNBA 2026
Connecticut 87:81 Chicago Chicago
2026-08-16 WNBA 2026
Seattle 80:82 Chicago Chicago
2026-08-13 WNBA 2026
Golden State 91:71 Chicago Chicago
2026-08-11 WNBA 2026
Seattle 97:88 Chicago Chicago
2026-07-22 WNBA 2026
NY Liberty 95:94 Chicago Chicago
1 Wins
4 Losses
83.2 Scored
90.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: NY Liberty - Chicago

NY Liberty
3 matches total
Chicago
NY Liberty: 2 (66.7%)
Chicago: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Chicago 93:86 (2026-08-19) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 191 points (95:96, 2026-06-18) most points in a game

Match history

2026-08-19 WNBA 2026
Chicago 93:86 NY Liberty
2026-07-22 WNBA 2026
NY Liberty 95:94 Chicago
2026-06-18 WNBA 2026
Chicago 95:96 NY Liberty

More predictions

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Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NY Liberty vs Chicago?

By the PropickAI model, NY Liberty is favoured — about 75% win probability.

What does PropickAI predict for NY Liberty vs Chicago?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to NY Liberty. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for NY Liberty vs Chicago?

Live odds for NY Liberty vs Chicago from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does NY Liberty vs Chicago start?

August 29, 2026.