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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
14.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form ✓H2H –Prediction
14.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Phoenix Mercury (w) - LA Sparks

Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
102 : 111
Finished
LA Sparks
LA Sparks

Phoenix Mercury (w) face LA Sparks on June 14, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 2-0-3, LA Sparks 2-0-3. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - LA Sparks June 14, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: LA Sparks. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.60 / 2 1.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3% 2 books · best price +20.0%
1 34.0%
2 66.0%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Bettery, Fonbet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury (w)
#7GP 3312-21
LA Sparks
#6GP 3012-18

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

41Wins42
82.3Points on average83.6

Head-to-head matches: 83 · average total 165.9 (points)

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)
4-6LLLWWWLWLL
points for 84.2points against 90.6
LA Sparks
3-7WLLLLLLWLW
points for 91.9points against 94.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Mortgage Matchup Center (Finiks)
Referee Greene T. 🇺🇸 - Broomfield K. 🇺🇸 - Gloss A. 🇺🇸
Attendance 9 234
Start 14.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 20.7% @ 4.60 / 2 79.3% @ 1.20
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - LA Sparks

Array

Form 4/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 165.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 166.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.95 33.9%
2.13 47.0%
1.98 50.5%
1.60 62.5%
1.90 52.6%
2.00 50.0%
2.25 44.4%
1.75 57.1%
3.10 32.3%
2.60 38.5%
1.33 75.2%
1.60 62.5%
1.70 58.8%
1.40 71.4%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.60 62.5%
1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 165.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 166.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 167.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 168.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 169.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 170.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 171.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 172.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 173.5 1.83 54.6%
Over 174.5 1.92 52.1%
Over 175.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 176.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 177.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 178.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 179.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 180.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 181.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 182.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Bettery Fonbet
2.00 50.0% 4.60 21.7%
1.80 55.6% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L W W L
11.06 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 70:85 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
06.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 78:72 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
04.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 72:68 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
02.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 77:111 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
2 Wins
2 Losses
74.3 Scored
84.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage
LA Sparks
W W L L L
11.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 88:83 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
07.06 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 89:72 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
06.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 96:104 Dallas Vings (Zh)Dallas Vings (Zh)
03.06 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 69:79 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
30.05 20:00 UTC USA: VNBA
LA Sparks 81:84 Konnektikut San (Zh)Konnektikut San (Zh)
2 Wins
3 Losses
84.6 Scored
84.4 Conceded
40% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury (w) - LA Sparks

Phoenix Mercury (w)
1 matches total
LA Sparks
Phoenix Mercury (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
LA Sparks: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh) 88:97 (22.05 00:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 185 goals (88:97, 22.05 00:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

22.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Finiks Merkyuri (Zh)
88:97
Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)