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Phoenix Mercury (w) — Minnesota

Basketball 02.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Favourite Minnesota best odds 1.05

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
02.06.2026 00:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data –Line ✓Form –H2H –Prediction
02.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Minnesota

Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
77 : 111
Finished
Minnesota
Minnesota

Phoenix Mercury (w) take on Minnesota on June 2, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 0-0-5, Minnesota 3-0-0. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Minnesota June 2, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Minnesota. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 8.00 / 2 1.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 11.6%
2 88.4%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury (w)
#6GP 3613-23
Minnesota
#1GP 3730-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)
5-5WWWLWLLLWL
points for 85.5points against 87.0
Minnesota
9-1WWWWLWWWWW
points for 93.5points against 84.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Mortgage Matchup Center (Finiks)
Referee Gulbeyan R. 🇺🇸 - Chang C. 🇺🇸 - Burns B. 🇺🇸
Start 02.06.2026 00:00 UTC
Market 1 11.6% @ 8.00 / 2 88.4% @ 1.05
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$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Minnesota

Array

Form 5/3 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 160.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Over 161.5 1.56 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.60 62.5%
1.65 60.6%
1.52 65.8%
1.62 61.7%
1.72 58.1%
1.88 53.2%
2.00 50.0%
2.10 47.6%
1.47 68.0%
1.48 67.6%
1.57 63.7%
1.47 68.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.40 71.4%
1.43 69.9%
1.44 69.4%
1.38 72.5%
1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 160.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 161.5 1.56 64.1%
Over 162.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 163.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 164.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 165.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 166.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 167.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 168.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 169.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 170.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 171.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 172.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 173.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 174.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 175.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 176.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 177.5 1.47 68.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
8.00 12.5%
1.05 95.2%
Match center
Phoenix Mercury (w)
L L L L L
29.05 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 68:75 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
27.05 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 74:84 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
24.05 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 80:82 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
22.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 88:97 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
20.05 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Phoenix Mercury (w) 90:98 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
0 Wins
5 Losses
80.0 Scored
87.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Minnesota
W W W
29.05 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 79:58 Chikago Skay (Zh)Chikago Skay (Zh)
27.05 23:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 96:81 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
21.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 100:72 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
3 Wins
0 Losses
91.7 Scored
70.3 Conceded
100% Win percentage

More predictions

Phoenix Mercury (w) – Atlanta 23.08 Minnesota – Golden State Valkyries (w) 25.08 Phoenix Mercury (w) – Washington 26.08 NY Liberty – Indiana 22.08 LA Sparks – Connecticut 23.08 Dallas Vings (Zh)–Siettl Storm (Zh) 23.08

Frequently asked questions

When does Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Minnesota start?

June 2, 2026.