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Phoenix Mercury (w) — Washington Mystics (w)

Basketball 26.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Favourite Washington Mystics (w) best odds 1.01

AI analysis of team form, streaks and match statistics — full pick, probabilities and value below.

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WNBA
WNBA International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
26.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Washington Mystics (w) — Basketball prediction

International Basketball
Phoenix Mercury (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w)
60 : 77
Finished
Washington Mystics (w)
Washington Mystics (w)

Phoenix Mercury (w) go head-to-head with Washington Mystics (w) on August 26, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Phoenix Mercury (w) 1-0-4, Washington Mystics (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PropickAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 Safe pick banker

Match winner Washington Mystics (w)

Model confidence 92% ~91% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Phoenix Mercury (w) - Washington Mystics (w) August 26, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Washington Mystics (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.3%
1 7.8%
2 92.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Phoenix Mercury (w)
#6GP 3813-25
Washington Mystics (w)
#3GP 3823-15

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

30Wins16
84.7Points on average81.7

Head-to-head matches: 46 · average total 166.4 (points)

Team form

Phoenix Mercury (w)
3-7WLWLLLWLLL
points for 87.0points against 91.8
Washington Mystics (w)
7-3WWLLWWLWWW
points for 86.2points against 82.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 26.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 7.8% @ 12.00 / 2 92.2% @ 1.01
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Phoenix Mercury (w) - Washington Mystics (w)

H2H 2 head-to-head matches
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 51.9% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.538 / LogLoss 0.731
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form home - 50.7% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.515 / LogLoss 0.708
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 157.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Over 158.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.38 72.5%
1.30 76.9%
1.25 80.0%
1.33 75.2%
1.45 69.0%
1.92 52.1%
1.75 57.1%
1.58 63.3%
1.67 59.9%
1.98 50.5%
1.90 52.6%
1.45 69.0%
1.65 60.6%
1.57 63.7%
1.48 67.6%
1.40 71.4%
1.45 69.0%
1.40 71.4%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 157.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 158.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 159.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 160.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 161.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 162.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 163.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 164.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 165.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 166.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 167.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 168.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 169.5 2.25 44.4%
Over 170.5 2.45 40.8%
Over 171.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 172.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 173.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 174.5 1.30 76.9%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
12.00 8.3%
1.01 99.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Phoenix Mercury (w) - Washington Mystics (w)

Phoenix Mercury (w)
2 matches total
Washington Mystics (w)
Phoenix Mercury (w): 0 (0%)
Washington Mystics (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Washington Mystics (w) 95:75 (2026-08-09) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 170 points (95:75, 2026-08-09) most points in a game

Match history

2026-08-09 WNBA 2026
Washington Mystics (w) 95:75 Phoenix Mercury (w)
09.08 19:00 UTC ZhNBA
Finiks (zh)
61:81
Vashington (zh)

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Washington Mystics (w)?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Washington Mystics (w). Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Washington Mystics (w)?

Live odds for Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Washington Mystics (w) from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Washington Mystics (w) start?

August 26, 2026.