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WNBA
WNBA International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
11.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA

Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

International Basketball
Seattle Storm (w)
Seattle Storm (w)
68 : 60
Finished
Chicago Sky (w)
Chicago Sky (w)

Seattle Storm (w) meet Chicago Sky (w) on August 11, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Seattle Storm (w) 0-0-5, Chicago Sky (w) 3-0-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 41% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Chicago Sky (w)59%

1 · Seattle Storm (w)41.3%
market90%
2 · Chicago Sky (w) ✓ Pick58.7%
market10%

Model estimate: win Seattle Storm (w) 41.3%, win Chicago Sky (w) 58.7%. Model favourite — Chicago Sky (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Chicago Sky (w) (odds2.00) Score 79:81 Under 178.5 (odds2.33) Handicap H2 +1.5 (odds1.90) confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • Sietl (zh): forma PPPPP (0-5)
  • Chikago (zh): forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • ochnye 0-1 (za 1)
  • liniya na pik P2 1.80→2.00 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
  • Model backs Chikago (zh): probability 59% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.00)
  • edge over the line +9 pp — value pick
  • Total: Under 178.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 178.5 (odds 2.33)
  • Handicap F2 +1.5: score forecast 79:81 (diff -2) covers the line (odds 1.90).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w) August 11, 2026

Basketball math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Seattle Storm (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Seattle Storm (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 9.50
  • Glicko: Seattle Storm (w) 41.3% / Chicago Sky (w) 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.6%
1 90.2%
2 ✓ Pick 9.8%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner 1 2.00 ↑ 2.12
Winner 2 1.80 ↓ 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Samuelson, Keti Lu — Knee Dzhekson, Rikea — Knee Diggins-Smit, Skaylar — Knee

Source: gismo_stats

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

24Wins22
81.2Points on average79.5

Head-to-head matches: 46 · average total 160.7 (points)

Team form

Seattle Storm (w)
0-10LLLLLLLLLL
points for 90.0points against 97.0
Chicago Sky (w)
5-5WWLLWWLWLL
points for 92.4points against 91.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Seattle Storm (w)
  • Keti Lu SamuelsonOut
    Knee
Chicago Sky (w)
  • Rikea DzheksonOut
    Knee
  • Skaylar Diggins-SmitOut
    Knee

Injury and absence data - for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 11.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 90.2% @ 1.03 / 2 9.8% @ 9.50
Form 6 matches
H2H 1
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Chicago Sky (w) 59%
💹 Market Seattle Storm (w) 90%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 1 ochnykh vstrech.

H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview
More needed
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, Injuries
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 68:60
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 58.7% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.689 / LogLoss 0.884
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 53.5% fact: home missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.572 / LogLoss 0.765
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Seattle Storm (w) 44.8% 41.3%
Chicago Sky (w) 55.2% 58.7% market and model agree
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 41.3% / 58.7% probabilities
Rating 910 / 1,233 Seattle Storm (w) / Chicago Sky (w)
RD 189 / 159 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 531-1,289 / 914-1,551 strength interval
HFA: 65 HFA mu: 0.374 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.50 Fonbet · weak value +457.6% · model 58.7%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 41.3%
Total
Over 158.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 159.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
3.35 29.9%
2.40 41.7%
2.45 40.8%
2.45 40.8%
2.20 45.5%
2.35 42.6%
1.33 75.2%
1.30 76.9%
1.60 62.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.95 51.3%
1.95 51.3%
1.80 55.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6%
1.35 74.1%
1.43 69.9%
1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 158.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 159.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 160.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 161.5 1.85 54.1%
Over 162.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 163.5 1.63 61.4%
Over 164.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 165.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 166.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 167.5 1.43 69.9%
Over 168.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 169.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 170.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 171.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 172.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 173.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 174.5 1.48 67.6%
Over 175.5 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.03 97.1%
9.50 10.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySeattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

Seattle Storm (w)
2 matches total
Chicago Sky (w)
Seattle Storm (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chicago Sky (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Chicago Sky (w) 95:90 (2026-07-15) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 185 goals (95:90, 2026-07-15) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-15 WNBA 2026
Chicago Sky (w) 95:90 Seattle Storm (w)
15.07 16:00 UTC WNBA
Sietl (zh)
90:95
Chikago (zh)