AI verdict

AI pick Seattle Storm (w) win probability ~54% best odds 4.00

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Seattle Storm (w). Full breakdown below.

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
WNBA
WNBA International
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Match in progress

WNBA

Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

International Basketball
Seattle Storm (w)
Seattle Storm (w)
- : -
Match in progress
Chicago Sky (w)
Chicago Sky (w)

Seattle Storm (w) go head-to-head with Chicago Sky (w) on August 16, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Seattle Storm (w) 1-0-4, Chicago Sky (w) 1-0-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Seattle Storm (w)54%

1 · Seattle Storm (w)53.7%
2 · Chicago Sky (w)46.3%

Model estimate: win Seattle Storm (w) 53.7%, win Chicago Sky (w) 46.3%. Model favourite — Seattle Storm (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Seattle Storm (w) (odds1.95) Score 81:79 Under 174.5 (odds2.33) Handicap H1 +1.5 (odds1.85) confidence 54%
  • Sietl (zh): forma PVPPP (1-4)
  • Chikago (zh): forma PPPVP (1-4)
  • ochnye 1 (za 2)
  • Model backs Sietl (zh): probability 54% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • Total: Under 174.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
  • at line 174.5 (odds 2.33)
  • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w) August 16, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chicago Sky (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.25

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 23.8%
2 76.2%

Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.95 ↑ 2.12
Winner P2 1.85 ↓ 1.72

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Khaydman, Natisha — Shoulder Dzhekson, Rikea — Knee Diggins-Smit, Skaylar — Knee Teylor, Sydney — Groin

Source: gismo_stats

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

25Wins22
81.5Points on average79.7

Head-to-head matches: 47 · average total 161.2 (points)

Team form

Seattle Storm (w)
1-9LLLLLLLLWL
points for 91.0points against 96.3
Chicago Sky (w)
4-6WLLWWLWLLL
points for 90.0points against 91.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Seattle Storm (w)
  • Natisha KhaydmanOut
    Shoulder
Chicago Sky (w)
  • Rikea DzheksonOut
    Knee
  • Skaylar Diggins-SmitOut
    Knee
  • Sidney TeylorOut
    Groin

Injury and absence data - for reference.

LIVE

Now in play

score 59:66 · 31'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

31'
24% 76%
Seattle Storm (w) (1) Chicago Sky (w) (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

59:66 31'
Seattle Storm (w) Chicago Sky (w)
11Fouls15

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 16.08.2026 21:00 UTC
Market 1 23.8% @ 4.00 / 2 76.2% @ 1.25
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Seattle Storm (w) 54%
💹 Market Chicago Sky (w) 76%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

Play free: you start with $10,000 in virtual money. Bet on this match at our odds, then track your profit and climb the global leaderboard. No real money, no sign-up.

Match center

Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Seattle Storm (w) 44.8% 53.7% Glicko contrarian
Chicago Sky (w) 55.2% 46.3% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 53.7% / 46.3% probabilities
Rating 1,101 / 1,070 Seattle Storm (w) / Chicago Sky (w)
RD 165 / 151 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 771-1,431 / 767-1,372 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.25 Fonbet · no value · model 46.3%
1 4.00 Fonbet · weak value +114.7% · model 53.7%
Total
Over 151.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 152.5 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.45 69.0%
2.85 35.1%
2.30 43.5%
2.50 40.0%
2.40 41.7%
2.65 37.7%
2.20 45.5%
2.35 42.6%
2.55 39.2%
2.25 44.4%
2.45 40.8%
1.38 72.5%
1.50 66.7%
1.30 76.9%
1.30 76.9%
1.38 72.5%
1.33 75.2%
1.32 75.8%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 151.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 152.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 153.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 154.5 1.35 74.1%
Over 155.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 156.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 157.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 158.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 159.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 160.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 161.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 162.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 163.5 2.05 48.8%
Over 164.5 2.30 43.5%
Over 165.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 166.5 3.00 33.3%
Over 167.5 2.65 37.7%
Over 168.5 2.50 40.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
4.00 25.0%
1.25 80.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)

Seattle Storm (w)
3 matches total
Chicago Sky (w)
Seattle Storm (w): 1 (33.3%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Chicago Sky (w): 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Seattle Storm (w) 97:88 (2026-08-11) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 185 goals (97:88, 2026-08-11) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-08-11 WNBA 2026
Seattle Storm (w) 97:88 Chicago Sky (w)
11.08 02:00 UTC ZhNBA
Sietl (zh)
68:60
Chikago (zh)
15.07 16:00 UTC ZhNBA
Sietl (zh)
90:95
Chikago (zh)

Recent form

Seattle Storm (w) LWLLLL
Chicago Sky (w) LLLWLW

Standings

# PWL+/-
1Minnesota36297316
2Golden State33249219
3Las Vegas Aces362412125
4Indiana342212202
5Atlanta332112150
6NY Liberty362214119
7Washington342014-25
8Dallas35201582
9Portland Fire341420-157
10Phoenix351322-125
11Chicago341222-84
11LA Sparks341222-158
13Toronto Tempo331023-214
14Connecticut33825-264
15Seattle36729-186

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Seattle Storm (w) LWLLLL
Chicago Sky (w) LLLWLW

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Standings around this match WNBA 2026

# PWL+/-
11Chicago Sky341222-84
15Seattle Storm36729-186

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 1 Stadium: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Seattle Storm (w) vs Chicago Sky (w) start?

August 16, 2026.