AI verdict
Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Seattle Storm (w). Full breakdown below.
Picks locked before kickoff results verified after public accuracy log →WNBA
Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)
Seattle Storm (w) go head-to-head with Chicago Sky (w) on August 16, 2026 in the WNBA, International.
Recent form (W-D-L): Seattle Storm (w) 1-0-4, Chicago Sky (w) 1-0-4. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Seattle Storm (w) — 54%
Model estimate: win Seattle Storm (w) 53.7%, win Chicago Sky (w) 46.3%. Model favourite — Seattle Storm (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Sietl (zh): forma PVPPP (1-4)
- • Chikago (zh): forma PPPVP (1-4)
- • ochnye 1 (za 2)
- • Model backs Sietl (zh): probability 54% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Total: Under 174.5: model expects a total of ~160 ochk
- • at line 174.5 (odds 2.33)
- • Handicap F1 +1.5: score forecast 81:79 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w) August 16, 2026
Basketball math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.00 / 2 1.25
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Source: gismo_stats
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Head-to-head
Team form
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
Absences
Injuries and absences
- Natisha KhaydmanOutShoulder
- Rikea DzheksonOutKnee
- Skaylar Diggins-SmitOutKnee
- Sidney TeylorOutGroin
Injury and absence data - for reference.
Now in play
score 59:66 · 31'
Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.
1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)
31'Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
Match momentum (live)
59:66 31'Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
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Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)
V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.
Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.45 69.0% | |
| 2.85 35.1% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 2.50 40.0% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | |
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| 2.35 42.6% | |
| 2.55 39.2% | |
| 2.25 44.4% | |
| 2.45 40.8% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.50 66.7% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.30 76.9% | |
| 1.38 72.5% | |
| 1.33 75.2% | |
| 1.32 75.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 151.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 152.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 153.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 154.5 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Over 155.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 156.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 157.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Over 158.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 159.5 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Over 160.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 161.5 | 1.65 60.6% |
| Over 162.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
| Over 163.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Over 164.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 165.5 | 2.60 38.5% |
| Over 166.5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| Over 167.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Over 168.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 4.00 25.0% | |
| 1.25 80.0% |
Full head-to-head history: Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Seattle Storm (w) - Chicago Sky (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form
Recent form
Standings
| # | P | W | L | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota | 36 | 29 | 7 | 316 |
| 2 | Golden State | 33 | 24 | 9 | 219 |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces | 36 | 24 | 12 | 125 |
| 4 | Indiana | 34 | 22 | 12 | 202 |
| 5 | Atlanta | 33 | 21 | 12 | 150 |
| 6 | NY Liberty | 36 | 22 | 14 | 119 |
| 7 | Washington | 34 | 20 | 14 | -25 |
| 8 | Dallas | 35 | 20 | 15 | 82 |
| 9 | Portland Fire | 34 | 14 | 20 | -157 |
| 10 | Phoenix | 35 | 13 | 22 | -125 |
| 11 | Chicago | 34 | 12 | 22 | -84 |
| 11 | LA Sparks | 34 | 12 | 22 | -158 |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo | 33 | 10 | 23 | -214 |
| 14 | Connecticut | 33 | 8 | 25 | -264 |
| 15 | Seattle | 36 | 7 | 29 | -186 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
Team form & streaks
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
Standings around this match WNBA 2026
| # | P | W | L | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Chicago Sky | 34 | 12 | 22 | -84 |
| 15 | Seattle Storm | 36 | 7 | 29 | -186 |
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
Match facts
Sportradar · Winline StatsHub
Frequently asked questions
When does Seattle Storm (w) vs Chicago Sky (w) start?
August 16, 2026.