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AI verdict

AI pick Seattle Storm (w) win probability ~62% confidence High best odds 1.60

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Seattle Storm (w). Full breakdown below.

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WNBA
WNBA International
27.08.2026 02:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
27.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Not started

WNBA

Seattle Storm (w) - Toronto (w)

International Basketball
Seattle Storm (w)
Seattle Storm (w)
- : -
Not started
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)

Seattle Storm (w) go head-to-head with Toronto (w) on August 27, 2026 in the WNBA, International.

Recent form (W-D-L): Seattle Storm (w) 1-0-4, Toronto (w) 1-0-4. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Seattle Storm (w) — 62%

1 · Seattle Storm (w) ✓ Pick62.1%
market 63%
2 · Toronto (w)37.9%
market 37%

Model estimate: win Seattle Storm (w) 62.1%, win Toronto (w) 37.9%. Model favourite — Seattle Storm (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Seattle Storm (w) - Toronto (w) August 27, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Seattle Storm (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.60 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0% 3 books · best price +5.3%
1 ✓ Pick 62.7%
2 37.4%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Fonbet, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner P1 1.53 ↑ 1.60
Winner P2 2.50 ↓ 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Seattle Storm (w)
1-9LLLLLLLWLL
points for 88.3points against 93.5
Toronto (w)
1-9LLLLLLLLLW
points for 85.1points against 96.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 27.08.2026 02:00 UTC
Market 1 59.5% @ 1.60 / 2 40.5% @ 2.35
Form 6 matches
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Seattle Storm (w) 62%
💹 Market Seattle Storm (w) 63%
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Match center

Seattle Storm (w) - Toronto (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Seattle Storm (w) 62.7% 62.1% market and model agree
Toronto (w) 37.4% 37.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 62.1% / 37.9% probabilities
Rating 1,015 / 943 Seattle Storm (w) / Toronto (w)
RD 153 / 173 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 709-1,320 / 596-1,290 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 37.9%
1 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 62.1%
Total
Over 172.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 173.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.67 59.9%
1.75 57.1%
1.90 52.6%
1.96 51.0%
2.07 48.3%
2.23 44.8%
2.37 42.2%
2.70 37.0%
2.80 35.7%
2.07 48.3%
1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6%
1.75 57.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.58 63.3%
1.51 66.2%
1.44 69.4%
1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 172.5 1.53 65.4%
Over 173.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 174.5 1.65 60.6%
Over 175.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 176.5 1.77 56.5%
Over 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 178.5 1.94 51.6%
Over 179.5 2.03 49.3%
Over 180.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 181.5 2.23 44.8%
Over 182.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 172.5 2.33 42.9%
Under 173.5 2.23 44.8%
Under 174.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 175.5 2.03 49.3%
Under 176.5 1.94 51.6%
Under 177.5 1.90 52.6%
Under 178.5 1.77 56.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
1.60 62.5% 1.52 65.8% 1.52 65.8%
2.35 42.6% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%
Match center
Toronto (w)
W
2026-08-22 WNBA 2026
Toronto (w) 82:79 Portland (w) Toronto (w)
1 Wins
0 Losses
82.0 Scored
79.0 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Seattle Storm (w) - Toronto (w)

Seattle Storm (w)
2 matches total
Toronto (w)
Seattle Storm (w): 0 (0%)
Toronto (w): 2 (100%)
Biggest win Toronto Tempo 93:72 (2026-05-30) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 165 points (93:72, 2026-05-30) most points in a game

Match history

2026-05-30 WNBA 2026
Toronto Tempo 93:72 Seattle
2026-05-13 WNBA 2026
Toronto Tempo 86:73 Seattle

Recent form

Seattle Storm (w) LLLWLL
Toronto (w) LWLLLL

Standings

# PWL+/-
1Minnesota39318323
2Golden State372611227
3Las Vegas Aces392613143
4Atlanta382513214
5Indiana392514222
6NY Liberty382315119
7Washington372215-19
8Dallas382216102
9Portland Fire371522-162
10Chicago381523-95
11Phoenix371324-138
12LA Sparks381325-200
13Toronto Tempo371126-238
14Connecticut36927-288
15Seattle38731-210

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Team form & streaks

Seattle Storm (w) LLLWLL
Toronto (w) LWLLLL

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Standings around this match WNBA 2026

# PWL+/-
13Toronto Tempo371126-238
15Seattle Storm38731-210

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 1 Stadium: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

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Frequently asked questions

When does Seattle Storm (w) vs Toronto (w) start?

August 27, 2026.