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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

WNBA. Outrights

Toronto (w) - Minnesota

Basketball
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)
93 : 100
Finished
Minnesota
Minnesota

Toronto (w) meet Minnesota on July 30, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Toronto (w) 1-0-4, Minnesota 5-0-0. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Toronto (w) - Minnesota July 30, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Minnesota. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 6.60 / 2 1.15

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2% 3 books
1 16.3%
2 83.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Toronto (w)
#6GP 3110-21
Minnesota
#1GP 3427-7

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Toronto (w)
1-9WLLLLLLLLL
points for 83.4points against 98.6
Minnesota
9-1WWWWWWWLWW
points for 98.3points against 88.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Market 1 14.8% @ 6.60 / 2 85.2% @ 1.15
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Toronto (w) - Minnesota

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 82.2% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.063 / LogLoss 0.195
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 62.9% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.275 / LogLoss 0.464
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 62.9% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.275 / LogLoss 0.464
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form away - 62.9% fact: away hit / ROI 15.0% / Brier 0.275 / LogLoss 0.464
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.13 market consensus · line only
1 6.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 184.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Over 185.5 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0%
1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%
1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.90 52.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 184.5 1.87 53.5%
Over 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.92 52.1%
Over 186 1.92 52.1%
Over 186.5 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
Over 187.5 1.93 51.8%
Over 188.5 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
Under 184.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 185.5 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2%
Under 186.5 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6%
Under 187.5 1.87 53.5%
Under 188.5 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
5.70 17.5% 6.60 15.2% 5.90 17.0%
1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0%
Match center
Toronto (w)
L L L L W
28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:100 Minnesota Links (Zh)Minnesota Links (Zh)
20.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 83:109 Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)Las Vegas Eyses (Zh)
17.07 21:30 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 92:111 Atlanta Drim (Zh)Atlanta Drim (Zh)
14.07 21:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 62:79 Vashington Mistiks (Zh)Vashington Mistiks (Zh)
12.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto (w) 93:91 Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)Nyu-York Liberti (Zh)
1 Wins
4 Losses
84.6 Scored
98.0 Conceded
20% Win percentage
Minnesota
W W W W W
28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 100:93 Toronto Tempo (Zh)Toronto Tempo (Zh)
22.07 17:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 105:102 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
21.07 00:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 105:102 Siettl Storm (Zh)Siettl Storm (Zh)
18.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 101:93 Portlend (Zh)Portlend (Zh)
15.07 15:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Minnesota 96:87 Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)Los-Andzheles Sparks (Zh)
5 Wins
0 Losses
101.4 Scored
95.4 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyToronto (w) - Minnesota

Toronto (w)
2 matches total
Minnesota
Toronto (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Minnesota: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Minnesota Links (Zh) 72:100 (21.05 22:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 193 goals (93:100, 28.07 22:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

28.07 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
93:100
Minnesota Links (Zh)
21.05 22:00 UTC USA: VNBA
Toronto Tempo (Zh)
72:100
Minnesota Links (Zh)

Frequently asked questions

When does Toronto (w) vs Minnesota start?

July 30, 2026.