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AI verdict

AI pick Washington win probability ~76% confidence High best odds 1.25

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Washington. Full breakdown below.

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WNBA. Outrights
WNBA. Outrights
19.08.2026 23:30 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
19.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Not started

WNBA. Outrights

Washington - Toronto (w)

Basketball
Washington
Washington
- : -
Not started
Toronto (w)
Toronto (w)

Washington face Toronto (w) on August 19, 2026 in the WNBA. Outrights.

Recent form (W-D-L): Washington 5-0-0, Toronto (w) 0-0-5. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Washington — 76%

1 · Washington ✓ Pick76.3%
market 77%
2 · Toronto (w)23.7%
market 23%

Model estimate: win Washington 76.3%, win Toronto (w) 23.7%. Model favourite — Washington.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Washington - Toronto (w) August 19, 2026

Basketball math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Washington. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / 2 4.90

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.0% 5 books
1 ✓ Pick 77.3%
2 22.7%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Injuries and absences
Konde, Mariya — Achilles Konde, Mariya — Not Injury Related Sayks, Brittni — Foot

Source: gismo_stats

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Washington
78%
1.25
Toronto (w)
22%
4.90
Total
Over 171.5
50%
1.91
Under 171.5
50%
1.91

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Standing in the tournament

League table

Washington
#4GP 3420-14
Toronto (w)
#6GP 3310-23

Team positions in the current tournament per official statistics — for reference.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

0Wins1
91.0Points on average113.0

Head-to-head matches: 1 · average total 204.0 (points)

Team form

Washington
8-2WWWWLLWWWW
points for 102.1points against 91.9
Toronto (w)
0-10LLLLLLLLLL
points for 82.9points against 98.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Absences

Injuries and absences

Washington
No absences
Toronto (w)
  • Mariya KondeOut
    Achilles
  • Mariya KondeOut
    Not Injury Related
  • Brittni SayksOut
    Foot

Injury and absence data - for reference.

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 19.08.2026 23:30 UTC
Market 1 79.7% @ 1.25 / 2 20.3% @ 4.90
Form 6 matches
H2H 2
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Washington 76%
💹 Market Washington 77%
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Match center

Washington - Toronto (w)

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov i 2 ochnykh vstrech.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Basketball math model. The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Washington 77.4% 76.3% market and model agree
Toronto (w) 22.7% 23.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Basketball math model
P1 / P2 76.3% / 23.7% probabilities
Rating 1,798 / 1,396 Washington / Toronto (w)
RD 99 / 84 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,601-1,996 / 1,227-1,565 strength interval

The basketball model is built around the expected spread: Glicko-2, home court, tempo, lineup and margin of victory. Totals and handicaps are shown separately when there is enough market data for them.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.27 market consensus · no value · model 23.7%
1 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 76.3%
Total
Over 166.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Over 167.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6%
1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% — — 1.90 52.6%
— — 1.89 52.9% 1.89 52.9% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM
Over 166.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
Over 167.5 — — 1.62 61.7%
Over 168.5 — — 1.68 59.5%
Over 169.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
Over 170.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.82 55.0%
Over 171.5 — — 1.91 52.4%
Over 172.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
Over 173.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Over 174.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Over 175.5 — — 2.32 43.1%
Under 166.5 — — 2.48 40.3%
Under 167.5 — — 2.33 42.9%
Under 168.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
Under 169.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
Under 170.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
4.20 23.8% 4.90 20.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.23 23.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 3-0-0
2026-07-14 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 79:62 Toronto Tempo (Zh)
2026-06-12 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 86:85 Toronto Tempo (Zh)
2026-05-08 · Vashington Mistiks (Zh) 68:65 Toronto Tempo (Zh)
Source: ruscore
Washington
W W W W W
2026-08-15 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 80:70 LA Sparks
2026-08-09 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 95:75 Phoenix
2026-08-07 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 79:74 Atlanta
2026-08-05 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 96:92 Dallas
2026-07-31 WNBA 2026
Washington Washington 81:75 Dallas
5 Wins
0 Losses
86.2 Scored
77.2 Conceded
100% Win percentage
Toronto (w)
L L L L L
2026-08-13 WNBA 2026
Dallas 94:88 Toronto Tempo Toronto (w)
2026-08-11 WNBA 2026
Atlanta 107:95 Toronto Tempo Toronto (w)
2026-08-07 WNBA 2026
Portland Fire 97:83 Toronto Tempo Toronto (w)
2026-08-05 WNBA 2026
Golden State 92:81 Toronto Tempo Toronto (w)
2026-08-03 WNBA 2026
Golden State 96:79 Toronto Tempo Toronto (w)
0 Wins
5 Losses
85.2 Scored
97.2 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Washington - Toronto (w)

Washington
3 matches total
Toronto (w)
Washington: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Toronto (w): 0 (0%)
Biggest win Washington 62:79 (2026-07-14) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 171 goals (86:85, 2026-06-12) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

2026-07-14 WNBA 2026
Toronto Tempo 62:79 Washington
2026-06-12 WNBA 2026
Washington 86:85 Toronto Tempo
2026-05-08 WNBA 2026
Toronto Tempo 65:68 Washington

More predictions

Toronto (w) – Indiana 18.08 Washington – Minnesota 21.08 Toronto (w) – Portland (w) 22.08 Connecticut – LA Sparks 18.08 Las Vegas Aces – Atlanta 19.08 Chicago – NY Liberty 19.08

Frequently asked questions

When does Washington vs Toronto (w) start?

August 19, 2026.