Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
Ghana (w) - Cape Verde (w)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Ghana (w) — 66%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ghana (w)): model 53% · market 82% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Ghana (w) 66.2%, draw 19.7%, win Cape Verde (w) 14.1%. Model favourite — Ghana (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ghana (Zh): probability 71% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
- • no edge over the line (-8 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ghana (w) - Cape Verde (w) July 29, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ghana (w).
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.05 / X 10.50 / 2 8.70
- Glicko: Ghana (w) 66.2% / X 19.7% / Cape Verde (w) 14.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Ghana (w) - Cape Verde (w)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.07 93.5% | 1.71 58.5% |
| yes | 6.50 15.4% | 2.02 49.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 2.60 38.5% | 2.80 35.7% | 7.70 13.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | |
| X | 2.55 39.2% |
| 7.90 12.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
| Under 1 | 2.27 44.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.58 63.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 3 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.4 | 4.2 | 6.3 |
| Betcity | 1.36 | 4.4 | 8.4 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.4 | 4.3 | 7 |
Ghana (w)
Tanzaniya (Zh)
Cape Verde (w)
Morocco (Zh)
Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh)
Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh)
Full head-to-head historyGhana (w) - Cape Verde (w)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Ghana (w) - Cape Verde (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form