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Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
27.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
27.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying

Ivory Coast (w) - Burkina Faso U20

Football
Ivory Coast (w)
Ivory Coast (w)
5 : 0
Finished
B
Burkina Faso U20
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ivory Coast (w) — 55%

Pure model vs market (1 · Ivory Coast (w)): model 50% · market 78% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Ivory Coast (w)54.8%
X · draw26.5%
2 · Burkina Faso U2018.8%

Model estimate: win Ivory Coast (w) 54.8%, draw 26.5%, win Burkina Faso U20 18.8%. Model favourite — Ivory Coast (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ivory Coast (w) (odds1.51) Score 2:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh): probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
  • • no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ivory Coast (w) - Burkina Faso U20 July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ivory Coast (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Ivory Coast (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 11.00 / 2 5.30
  • Glicko: Ivory Coast (w) 54.8% / X 26.5% / Burkina Faso U20 18.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 27.0%
1 78.0%
X 7.2%
2 14.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 18:00 UTC
Match center

Ivory Coast (w) - Burkina Faso U20

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 5:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.8% fact: home hit / ROI 71.0% / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.602
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.8% fact: home hit / ROI 71.0% / Brier 0.310 / LogLoss 0.602
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ivory Coast (w) 55.1% 54.8% market and model agree
Draw 26.7% 26.5% draw risk
Burkina Faso U20 18.2% 18.8%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.8% / 26.5% / 18.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,584 / 1,481 Ivory Coast (w) / Burkina Faso U20
RD 277 / 298 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,030-2,138 / 885-2,077 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 market consensus · no value · model 18.8%
X 3.37 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 54.8%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 73.5%
1X 1.05 Fonbet · no value · model 81.2%
X2 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 45.2%
Handicap
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 7.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 5.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 1.69 59.2%
yes 3.55 28.2% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.86 53.8% 2.10 47.6% 11.50 8.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.22 45.1%
X 2.06 48.5%
5.70 17.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.02 49.5%
Under 1 1.71 58.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

Ivory Coast (w)WDWWWWLLL
Burkina Faso U20LDDLDLL
H2H 1-0-0, avg 5.0 gls
2026-07-27 · Kot-d’Ivuar (Zh) 4:1 Burkina-Faso (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.73 (Winline) · X 3.6 (Betcity) · 2 5.6 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.65 3.3 4.9
Winline 1.73 3.4 4.7
Betcity 1.6 3.6 5.6
Liga Stavok 1.73 3.3 4.8
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Ivory Coast (w)
D W
08.06 17:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Ivory Coast (w) 0:0 Cape Verde (Zh)Cape Verde (Zh)
05.06 17:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Ivory Coast (w) 3:0 Cape Verde (Zh)Cape Verde (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Burkina Faso U20
D
07.06 14:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Burkina Faso U20 2:2 Mali (Zh)Mali (Zh)
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points