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Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying

Nigeria (w) - Zambia (w)

Football
Nigeria (w)
Nigeria (w)
1 : 0
Finished
Zambia (w)
Zambia (w)

Nigeria (w) go head-to-head with Zambia (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying.

Recent form (W-D-L): Nigeria (w) 4-0-1, Zambia (w) 1-3-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 44% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Nigeria (w)44%

Pure model vs market (1 · Nigeria (w)): model 44% · market 67% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Nigeria (w)44.3%
X · draw25.9%
2 · Zambia (w)29.7%

Model estimate: win Nigeria (w) 44.3%, draw 25.9%, win Zambia (w) 29.7%. Model favourite — Nigeria (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Nigeria (w) (odds1.76) Score 2:1 confidence 57% ✓ outcome correct
  • Model backs Nigeria (Zh): probability 57% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nigeria (w) - Zambia (w) August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Nigeria (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Nigeria (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / X 5.50 / 2 3.34
  • Glicko: Nigeria (w) 44.3% / X 25.9% / Zambia (w) 29.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 45.2%
1 66.9%
X 12.5%
2 20.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Africa Cup of Nations - Women
League table
Nigeria (w)
#110 ptsGP 10-0-12:3
Zambia (w)
#23 ptsGP 11-0-06:0
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Nigeria (w)
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.00 Conceded 0.89
Zambia (w)
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.36

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Nigeria (w) 4 : 1 Zambia (w)
11.87
X3.50
23.57

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 66.9% @ 1.03 / X 12.5% @ 5.50 / 2 20.6% @ 3.34
Match center

Nigeria (w) - Zambia (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.3% fact: home hit / ROI 110.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.814
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 44.3% fact: home hit / ROI 110.0% / Brier 0.466 / LogLoss 0.814
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Nigeria (w) 44.3% 44.3% market and model agree
Draw 26.1% 25.9% draw risk
Zambia (w) 29.5% 29.7%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 44.3% / 25.9% / 29.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,688 / 1,689 Nigeria U20 / Zambia (w)
RD 266 / 189 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,156-2,220 / 1,310-2,068 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.15 market consensus · no value · model 29.7%
X 5.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 44.3%
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 74.1%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 70.3%
X2 8.50 Fonbet · weak value +373.2% · model 55.7%
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.44 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.42 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.23 Fonbet · line only
Yes 3.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.23 81.3% 2.10 47.6%
yes 3.60 27.8% 1.66 60.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.26 79.4% 1.32 75.8% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.59 62.9% 1.65 60.6% 8.50 11.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.43 41.2%
X 2.18 45.9%
4.19 23.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.71 58.5%
Under 1 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Nigeria (w)
L W W W W
2026-07-28 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group C
Nigeria (w) Nigeria (w) 2:3 Malawi (w)
2026-06-08 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Nigeria (w) Nigeria (w) 3:0 Senegal (w)
2026-06-05 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Nigeria (w) Nigeria (w) 2:1 Senegal (w)
2025-07-26 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2024, Knockout stage
Nigeria (w) Morocco (w) 2:3 Nigeria (w)
2025-07-22 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2024, Knockout stage
Nigeria (w) Nigeria (w) 2:1 South Africa (w)
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Zambia (w)
W L D D D
2026-07-28 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group C
Zambia (w) 6:0 Egypt (w) Zambia (w)
2026-07-22 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Algeria (w) 1:0 Zambia (w) Zambia (w)
2026-07-19 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Algeria (w) 1:1 Zambia (w) Zambia (w)
2026-06-06 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Zambia (w) 1:1 Kenya (w) Zambia (w)
2026-04-18 FIFA Series, Women 2026, Brazil
South Korea (w) 1:1 Zambia (w) Zambia (w)
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNigeria (w) - Zambia (w)

Nigeria (w)
1 matches total
Zambia (w)
Nigeria (w): 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Zambia (w): 1 (100%)
Biggest win Nigeria (w) 5:0 (2025-07-18) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (5:0, 2025-07-18) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

2025-07-18 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2024, Knockout stage
Nigeria (w) 5:0 Zambia (w)