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Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying
27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Africa Cup of Nations. U20. Qualifiying

South Africa (w) - Tanzania (w)

Football
S
South Africa (w)
1 : 2
Finished
Tanzania (w)
Tanzania (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Tanzania (w)65%

Pure model vs market (2 · Tanzania (w)): model 36% · market 47% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · South Africa (w)17.7%
market42%
X · draw16.9%
market11%
2 · Tanzania (w) ✓ Pick65.5%
market47%

Model estimate: win South Africa (w) 17.7%, draw 16.9%, win Tanzania (w) 65.5%. Model favourite — Tanzania (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Tanzania (w) (odds11.60) Score 1:2 confidence 60% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • Model backs Tanzaniya (Zh): probability 60% vs 9% on the line (odds 11.60)
  • edge over the line +51 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction South Africa (w) - Tanzania (w) July 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tanzania (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Tanzania (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.26 / X 4.70 / 2 1.12
  • Glicko: South Africa (w) 17.7% / X 16.9% / Tanzania (w) 65.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 89.9%
1 41.8%
X 11.2%
2 ✓ Pick 47.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

South Africa (w) 2 : 0 Tanzania (w)
11.18
X5.65
212.80

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 27.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

South Africa (w) - Tanzania (w)

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.5% fact: away hit / ROI 890.0% / Brier 0.179 / LogLoss 0.423
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.5% fact: away hit / ROI 890.0% / Brier 0.179 / LogLoss 0.423
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.5% fact: away hit / ROI 890.0% / Brier 0.179 / LogLoss 0.423
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 65.5% fact: away hit / ROI 890.0% / Brier 0.179 / LogLoss 0.423
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
South Africa (w) 72.3% 17.7% market favourite
Draw 18.5% 16.9% draw risk
Tanzania (w) 9.2% 65.5% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 17.7% / 16.9% / 65.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,526 / 1,590 South Africa (w) / Tanzania (w)
RD 278 / 258 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 970-2,081 / 1,074-2,107 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 65.5%
X 4.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.26 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 17.7%
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 83.1%
1X 5.00 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 34.5%
X2 1.25 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 82.3%
Handicap
2 0 5.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.57 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 5.00 20.0%
x2 1.25 80.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.70 58.8%
X 2.45 40.8%
8.80 11.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.69 59.2%
Over 1.5 2.32 43.1%
Under 1 2.04 49.0%
Under 1.5 1.54 64.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

South Africa (w)LWLWDLDWDW
Tanzania (w)WDWLLDLWLW
H2H 0-1-1, avg 2.5 gls
2026-07-27 · YuAR (Zh) 1:2 Tanzaniya (Zh)
2025-07-11 · YuAR (Zh) 1:1 Tanzaniya (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.25 (Winline) · X 5.6 (Betcity) · 2 12 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.23 5.1 10
Winline 1.25 5.4 10
Betcity 1.22 5.6 12
Liga Stavok 1.25 5.2 11
Source: ruscore · line comparison
South Africa (w)
W L
09.06 04:30 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
South Africa (w) 1:0 Japan (Zh)Japan (Zh)
06.06 04:50 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
South Africa (w) 0:5 Japan (Zh)Japan (Zh)
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points
Tanzania (w)
D W
20.07 16:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Tanzania (w) 0:0 Ghana (Zh)Ghana (Zh)
03.06 11:00 UTC+0 World: Mezhdunarodnye Friendlies - Women
Tanzania (w) 1:0 Malavi (Zh)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points