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Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings

Mali (w) - Cape Verde (w)

Football
Mali (w)
Mali (w)
3 : 1
Finished
Cape Verde (w)
Cape Verde (w)

Mali (w) meet Cape Verde (w) on August 2, 2026 in the Africa: Cup Afrikanskikh Natsiy - Women Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mali (w) 0-3-2, Cape Verde (w) 0-1-4. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 64% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Mali (w) — 64%

Pure model vs market (1 · Mali (w)): model 53% · market 76% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Mali (w) ✓ Pick64.5%
market76%
X · draw21.9%
market13%
2 · Cape Verde (w)13.6%
market11%

Model estimate: win Mali (w) 64.5%, draw 21.9%, win Cape Verde (w) 13.6%. Model favourite — Mali (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Mali (w) (odds2.04) Score 1:0 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Mali (Zh): probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mali (w) - Cape Verde (w) August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mali (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Mali (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.04 / X 6.00 / 2 7.20
  • Glicko: Mali (w) 64.5% / X 21.9% / Cape Verde (w) 13.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 26.7%
1 ✓ Pick 75.9%
X 13.2%
2 11.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Africa Cup of Nations - Women
League table
Mali (w)
#100 ptsGP 10-0-11:2
Cape Verde (w)
#130 ptsGP 10-0-10:2

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Mali (w) 2 : 1 Cape Verde (w)
11.39
X4.15
27.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 20:00 UTC
Market 1 75.9% @ 1.04 / X 13.2% @ 6.00 / 2 11.0% @ 7.20
Match center

Mali (w) - Cape Verde (w)

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mali (w) 65.2% 64.5% market and model agree
Draw 22.0% 21.9% draw risk
Cape Verde (w) 12.9% 13.6%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 64.5% / 21.9% / 13.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,455 / 1,275 Mali (w) / Cape Verde (w)
RD 256 / 222 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 943-1,967 / 830-1,719 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.07 market consensus · no value · model 13.6%
X 6.00 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.04 Fonbet · no value · model 64.5%
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 78.1%
1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 86.4%
X2 7.60 Fonbet · no value · model 35.5%
Handicap
2 +1 2.03 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.68 59.5% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.09 91.7%
1x 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.50 40.0% 2.65 37.7% 7.60 13.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.94 51.6%
X 2.23 44.8%
6.80 14.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.84 54.4%
Under 1 1.86 53.8%
Match center
Mali (w)
L D D D L
2026-07-29 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group D
Mali (w) Cameroon (w) 2:1 Mali (w)
2026-06-07 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Mali (w) Mali (w) 2:2 Burkina Faso (w)
2026-06-04 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Mali (w) Burkina Faso (w) 0:0 Mali (w)
2026-04-17 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Mali (w) Morocco (w) 1:1 Mali (w)
2025-07-18 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2024, Knockout stage
Mali (w) Morocco (w) 3:1 Mali (w)
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Cape Verde (w)
L L D L
2026-07-29 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group D
Ghana (w) 2:0 Cape Verde (w) Cape Verde (w)
2026-07-21 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Morocco (w) 5:0 Cape Verde (w) Cape Verde (w)
2026-06-08 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Ivory Coast (w) 0:0 Cape Verde (w) Cape Verde (w)
2026-06-05 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Ivory Coast (w) 3:0 Cape Verde (w) Cape Verde (w)
0 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMali (w) - Cape Verde (w)

Mali (w)
0 matches total
Cape Verde (w)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history