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Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage
31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Finished

Africa Cup of Nations. Women. Morocco. Group stage

South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w)

Football
S
South Africa (w)
0 : 0
Finished
Ivory Coast (w)
Ivory Coast (w)
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Ivory Coast (w)72%

Pure model vs market (2 · Ivory Coast (w)): model 40% · market 63% Δ −23 pp model estimates below the market

1 · South Africa (w)13.9%
market26%
X · draw14.5%
market11%
2 · Ivory Coast (w) ✓ Pick71.6%
market63%

Model estimate: win South Africa (w) 13.9%, draw 14.5%, win Ivory Coast (w) 71.6%. Model favourite — Ivory Coast (w).

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Ivory Coast (w) (odds3.13) Score 1:2 confidence 59% ✗ outcome missed
  • Model backs Kot-d'Ivuar (Zh): probability 59% vs 32% on the line (odds 3.13)
  • edge over the line +27 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:2.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w) July 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ivory Coast (w).

Line favourite Fonbet: Ivory Coast (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.51 / X 5.90 / 2 1.05
  • Glicko: South Africa (w) 13.9% / X 14.5% / Ivory Coast (w) 71.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 52.0%
1 26.2%
X 11.1%
2 ✓ Pick 62.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Africa Cup of Nations - Women
League table
South Africa (w)
#110 ptsGP 10-0-11:2
ARRAY
Ivory Coast (w)
#33 ptsGP 11-0-04:1
ARRAY

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

South Africa (w) 1 : 4 Ivory Coast (w)
12.48
X3.16
22.55

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 26.2% @ 2.51 / X 11.1% @ 5.90 / 2 62.6% @ 1.05
Match center

South Africa (w) - Ivory Coast (w)

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.264 / LogLoss 1.934
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.264 / LogLoss 1.934
Glicko-2: public filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.264 / LogLoss 1.934
Glicko-2: precision filter Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table away - 71.6% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.264 / LogLoss 1.934
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
South Africa (w) 36.3% 13.9% market favourite
Draw 28.4% 14.5% draw risk
Ivory Coast (w) 35.4% 71.6% Glicko contrarian
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 13.9% / 14.5% / 71.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,443 / 1,584 South Africa (w) / Ivory Coast (w)
RD 236 / 278 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 970-1,915 / 1,027-2,140 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 71.6%
X 5.90 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.51 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 13.9%
Double chance
12 1.09 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 85.5%
1X 7.00 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 28.4%
X2 1.01 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 86.1%
Handicap
2 0 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.75 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.40 71.4% 1.93 51.8%
yes 2.75 36.4% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7%
1x 7.00 14.3%
x2 1.01 99.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.05 32.8%
X 2.04 49.0%
3.42 29.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.93 51.8%
Under 1 1.78 56.2%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 4.0 gls
2026-07-31 · YuAR (Zh) 2:2 Kot-d’Ivuar (Zh)
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.35 (Liga Stavok) · X 3.6 (Betcity) · 2 3.2 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.3 3 2.9
Winline 2.32 3.1 2.9
Fonbet 2.3 3 2.9
Betcity 2.05 3.6 3.2
Liga Stavok 2.35 3.15 2.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison
South Africa (w)
L W L W D
2026-07-27 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group B
South Africa (w) South Africa (w) 1:2 Tanzania (w)
2026-06-09 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
South Africa (w) Japan (w) 0:1 South Africa (w)
2026-06-06 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
South Africa (w) Japan (w) 5:0 South Africa (w)
2026-04-17 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
South Africa (w) South Africa (w) 2:0 Algeria (w)
2025-07-25 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2024, Knockout stage
South Africa (w) Ghana (w) 1:1 South Africa (w)
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Ivory Coast (w)
W D W W W
2026-07-27 Africa Cup of Nations, Women 2026, Group B
Ivory Coast (w) 4:1 Burkina Faso (w) Ivory Coast (w)
2026-06-08 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Ivory Coast (w) 0:0 Cape Verde (w) Ivory Coast (w)
2026-06-05 Int. Friendly Games W 2026
Ivory Coast (w) 3:0 Cape Verde (w) Ivory Coast (w)
2026-04-16 FIFA Series, Women 2026, Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast (w) 2:0 Pakistan (w) Ivory Coast (w)
2026-04-12 FIFA Series, Women 2026, Ivory Coast
Turks And Caicos Islands 1:15 Ivory Coast (w) Ivory Coast (w)
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
4.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points