Match center
Start
27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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27.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina: Primera A Women - Clausura Standings
Union Santa Fe (w) - Gimnasia La Plata (w)
2
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
2 Gimnasia La Plata (w) — 58%
Pure model vs market (2 · Gimnasia La Plata (w)): model 54% · market 38% Δ +16 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Union Santa Fe (w) 16.8%, draw 24.7%, win Gimnasia La Plata (w) 58.4%. Model favourite — Gimnasia La Plata (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2Gimnasia La Plata (w) (odds1.41)
Score 1:2
confidence 59%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs Khimnasiya i Esgrima (Zh): probability 59% vs 71% on the line (odds 1.41)
- • no edge over the line (-12 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Union Santa Fe (w) - Gimnasia La Plata (w) July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Union Santa Fe (w).
Line favourite Fonbet: Union Santa Fe (w). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.25 / X 4.05 / 2 1.56
- Glicko: Union Santa Fe (w) 16.8% / X 24.7% / Gimnasia La Plata (w) 58.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 68.8%
1
47.4%
X
14.6%
2 ✓ Pick
38.0%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Union Santa Fe (w)
2
:
3
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
15.88
X3.72
21.51
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Union Santa Fe (w) - Gimnasia La Plata (w)
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
2:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 58.4% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.095 / LogLoss 1.783
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 58.4% fact: home
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 1.095 / LogLoss 1.783
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Union Santa Fe (w)
16.3%
16.8%
Draw
25.0%
24.7%
draw risk
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
58.7%
58.4%
market and model agree
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
16.8% / 24.7% / 58.4%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,216 / 1,648
Union Santa Fe (w) / Gimnasia La Plata (w)
RD
196 / 186
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
825-1,607 / 1,276-2,019
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.54
market consensus · no value · model 58.4%
X
4.05
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.25
Fonbet · no value · model 16.8%
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet · no value · model 75.3%
1X
1.01
Fonbet · no value · model 41.6%
X2
3.50
Fonbet · weak value +191.2% · model 83.2%
Handicap
2 -1
1.96
market consensus · line only
2 0
8.50
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.75
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
8.00
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.04
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.47
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.47 68.0% | 1.68 59.5% |
| yes | 2.50 40.0% | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.11 90.1% | 3.50 28.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 6.30 15.9% | |
| X | 2.10 47.6% |
| 2.10 47.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.96 51.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
Union Santa Fe (w)
L
L
L
D
L
Union Santa Fe (w)
0:2
Nyuells Old Boys (Zh)
Nyuells Old Boys (Zh)
Union Santa Fe (w)
1:2
Rasing (Zh)
Rasing (Zh)
Union Santa Fe (w)
1:2
San-Lorenso (Zh)
San-Lorenso (Zh)
Union Santa Fe (w)
0:0
Taleres Kordoba (Zh)
Taleres Kordoba (Zh)
Union Santa Fe (w)
0:1
Lanus (Zh)
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
1
Points
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
W
W
L
W
W
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
2:0
Independente (Zh)
Independente (Zh)
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
2:1
Urakan (Zh)
Urakan (Zh)
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
1:2
Belgrano (Zh)
Belgrano (Zh)
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
4:2
River Pleyt (Zh)
River Pleyt (Zh)
Gimnasia La Plata (w)
2:1
Nyuells Old Boys (Zh)
Nyuells Old Boys (Zh)
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyUnion Santa Fe (w) - Gimnasia La Plata (w)
Union Santa Fe (w)
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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The Union Santa Fe (w) - Gimnasia La Plata (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
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