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Start
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Costa Rica. 2nd Division
AD Rosario - Turan Turkistan 2
0
:
1
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Turan Turkistan 2 — 34%
Pure model vs market (2 · Turan Turkistan 2): model 31% · market 34% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win AD Rosario 33.2%, draw 32.6%, win Turan Turkistan 2 34.2%. Model favourite — Turan Turkistan 2.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Xdraw (odds2.74)
Score 1:1 (odds5.35)
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 36% on the line (odds 2.74)
- • edge over the line +14 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1 (odds 5.35).
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AD Rosario - Turan Turkistan 2 July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Turan Turkistan 2.
Strongest: Turan Turkistan 2 - market and Glicko agree
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 2.73 / 2 2.65
- 1X2 market: AD Rosario 33.0% / X 33.0% / Turan Turkistan 2 34.0%
- Glicko: AD Rosario 33.2% / X 32.6% / Turan Turkistan 2 34.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 11.1%
1
33.1%
X
33.0%
2
34.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CLeague table
AD Rosario
LDLDD
Turan Turkistan 2
WWLLL
Best price
across 8 books
1
2.90
Dafabet
X
2.88
Betfair
2
2.75
1xBet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
AD Rosario
W-D-L 0-5-5
Scored 0.20
Conceded 1.00
xG 0.79
xGA 1.22
Turan Turkistan 2
W-D-L 2-3-5
Scored 0.61
Conceded 1.20
xG 0.79
xGA 1.15
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
AD Rosario
Rating 1378
xG 1.00
Win 32%
Turan Turkistan 2
Rating 1439
xG 1.11
Win 38%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
AD Rosario
0
:
0
Turan Turkistan 2
12.75
X2.85
22.75
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model
Turan Turkistan 2 34%
💹 Market
Turan Turkistan 2 3398%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center
AD Rosario - Turan Turkistan 2
Form
3/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:1
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 34.2% fact: away
hit / ROI 175.0% / Brier 0.649 / LogLoss 1.072
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
away - 34.2% fact: away
hit / ROI 175.0% / Brier 0.649 / LogLoss 1.072
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
AD Rosario
32.7%
33.2%
Draw
32.9%
32.6%
draw risk
Turan Turkistan 2
34.5%
34.2%
market and model agree
xG
-
1.00 : 1.11
1X2: 11 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
33.2% / 32.6% / 34.2%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,439 / 1,429
AD Rosario / Turan Turkistan 2
RD
219 / 179
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,001-1,878 / 1,070-1,787
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.66
market consensus · no value · model 34.2%
X
2.74
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
2.73
market consensus · no value · model 33.2%
Double chance
12
1.34
market consensus · no value · model 67.4%
1X
1.36
market consensus · no value · model 65.8%
X2
1.36
market consensus · no value · model 66.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.63
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.84
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
1.43
market consensus · line only
1 0
1.84
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.88
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.37
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.48
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.47
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.55 39.2% | |
| X | 2.80 35.7% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.45 40.8% |
| 2.70 37.0% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.50 40.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.31 76.3% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
| x2 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 0_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 0_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 0_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 1_4 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 2_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_1 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_1 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_2 | 46.00 2.2% |
Match center
AD Rosario
L
D
D
AD Rosario
0:1
Estrella Del Sur
Estrella Del Sur
AD Rosario
0:0
Viktoriano Arenas
Viktoriano Arenas
AD Rosario
0:0
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
0
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.3
Conceded
2
Points
Turan Turkistan 2
L
W
W
L
L
Turan Turkistan 2
1:3
Klub Lukhan
Klub Lukhan
Turan Turkistan 2
3:0
Kheneral Lamadrid
Kheneral Lamadrid
Turan Turkistan 2
1:0
Leones de Rosario
Leones de Rosario
Turan Turkistan 2
0:2
Atlas
Atlas
Turan Turkistan 2
0:1
Kanuelas
Kanuelas
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAD Rosario - Turan Turkistan 2
AD Rosario
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The AD Rosario - Turan Turkistan 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form