Argentina: Primera C Standings
Sacachispas - Leandro Niceforo Alem
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Sacachispas — 51%
Pure model vs market (1 · Sacachispas): model 48% · market 51% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Sacachispas 51.1%, draw 29.8%, win Leandro Niceforo Alem 19.2%. Model favourite — Sacachispas.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Alem (football)
- • Model backs Sakachispas: probability 50% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
- • no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sacachispas - Leandro Niceforo Alem July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sacachispas.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.01 / 2 4.75
- 1X2 market: Sacachispas 51.3% / X 29.8% / Leandro Niceforo Alem 18.9%
- Glicko: Sacachispas 51.1% / X 29.8% / Leandro Niceforo Alem 19.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera CHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:1
| AI | 1 | X | 2 | Score | Total goals | BTTS | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 46% | 34% | 20% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | 1X and Under 2.5 |
| Claude | 48% | 30% | 22% | 1:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Under 2.5 |
| Qwen | 78% | 15% | 7% | 2:0 | Under 2.5 | No | Win DAC Dunayska Streda |
| Kimi | 50% | 31% | 19% | ... | ... | ... | ... |
| GLM 5.2 | 52% | 30% | 18% | 2:0 | Over 2.5 | No | Double chance 1X |
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Sacachispas - Leandro Niceforo Alem
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.77 56.5% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.70 37.0% |
| 4.80 20.8% | 5.06 19.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.33 23.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.90 34.5% | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 1.35 74.1% | 2.47 40.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.34 74.6% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 1x | 1.13 88.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.05 95.2% |
| x2 | 1.67 59.9% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.14 87.7% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 0_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 1_0 | 4.00 25.0% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 1_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 2_0 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_3 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 3_0 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 3_3 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 4_0 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 4_1 | 41.00 2.4% |
Sacachispas
Def. de Kambaseres
Khuventud Unida S.-M.
Berasategi
Leandro Niceforo Alem
Kanuelas
Arkhentino de Rosario
Estrella Del Sur
Viktoriano Arenas
Khusto Khose de Urkisa
Full head-to-head historySacachispas - Leandro Niceforo Alem
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form