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Argentina: Primera C Standings
Argentina: Primera C Standings
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina: Primera C Standings

El Porvenir - Fénix

Football
El Porvenir
El Porvenir
0 : 0
Finished
Fénix
Fénix

El Porvenir meet Fénix on August 4, 2026 in the Argentina: Primera C Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): El Porvenir 0-2-3, Fénix 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes El Porvenir the favourite at about 41%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 40% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 El Porvenir — 40%

Pure model vs market (1 · El Porvenir): model 30% · market 41% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market

1 · El Porvenir40.5%
X · draw34.1%
2 · Fénix25.4%

Model estimate: win El Porvenir 40.5%, draw 34.1%, win Fénix 25.4%. Model favourite — El Porvenir.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds2.87) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 35% on the line (odds 2.87)
  • • edge over the line +15 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction El Porvenir - Fénix August 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like El Porvenir.

Strongest: El Porvenir - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 2.58 / 2 3.64
  • 1X2 market: El Porvenir 40.6% / X 34.7% / Fénix 24.7%
  • Glicko: El Porvenir 40.5% / X 34.1% / Fénix 25.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.1% 15 books · best price +10.5%
1 41.1%
X 34.6%
2 24.3%

Odds source: consensus of 15 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera C
League table
El Porvenir
#1926 ptsGP 224-14-417:18
Fénix
#2322 ptsGP 225-7-1014:22
Best price across 12 books
1 2.43 Unibet
X 2.70 10Bet
2 4.01 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
El Porvenir
W-D-L 1-5-4 Scored 0.50 Conceded 0.91 xG 0.98 xGA 0.87
Fénix
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.91 Conceded 1.10 xG 0.71 xGA 1.27

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
El Porvenir
Rating 1495
Fénix
Rating 1444

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

El Porvenir 0 : 0 Fénix
12.20
X2.66
23.70

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated05.08.2026 18:44 UTC
1 34%
X 41% ✓ favourite
2 25%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2 and Under 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Claude updated05.08.2026 18:48 UTC
1 37%
X 40% ✓ favourite
2 23%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Stavka ne aktualna — match sygran 04.08 so schetom 0 (raschetnye prokhody: X, Under 2.5, BTTS No, 1X)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:X

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 34% 41% 25% 0:0 Under 2.5 No X2 and Under 2.5
Claude 37% 40% 23% 0:0 Under 2.5 No Stavka ne aktualna — match sygran 04.08 so schetom 0 (raschetnye prokhody: X, Under 2.5, BTTS No, 1X)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 04.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 40.6% @ 2.21 / X 34.8% @ 2.58 / 2 24.6% @ 3.64
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Draw 41%
📐 Math model El Porvenir 40%
💹 Market El Porvenir 4059%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

El Porvenir - Fénix

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 40.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.663 / LogLoss 1.076
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 40.5% fact: draw missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.663 / LogLoss 1.076
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
El Porvenir 41.1% 40.5% market and model agree
Draw 34.6% 34.1% draw risk
Fénix 24.3% 25.4%
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.5% / 34.1% / 25.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,342 / 1,632 Sportivo Trinidense (r) / Fenix Pilar
RD 178 / 125 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 987-1,698 / 1,383-1,882 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.82 market consensus · no value · model 25.4%
X 2.55 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.20 market consensus · no value · model 40.5%
Double chance
12 1.52 market consensus · no value · model 65.9%
1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 74.6%
X2 1.59 market consensus · no value · model 59.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.44 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.20 45.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
X 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.45 40.8%
3.60 27.8% 4.01 24.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.25 30.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.44 69.4%
yes 2.61 38.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.48 67.6% 1.56 64.1%
1x 1.06 94.3% 1.10 90.9%
x2 1.55 64.5% 1.63 61.4%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 4.75 21.1%
0_1 5.50 18.2%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 4.00 25.0%
1_1 5.00 20.0%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 41.00 2.4%
1_4 101.00 1.0%
2_0 7.50 13.3%
2_1 9.00 11.1%
2_2 21.00 4.8%
2_3 61.00 1.6%
3_0 19.00 5.3%
3_1 23.00 4.4%
3_2 51.00 2.0%
3_3 126.00 0.8%
Match center
El Porvenir
L L D D L
28.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir 2:3 Sportivo BarrakasSportivo Barrakas
18.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir 0:2 MersedesMersedes
11.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir 0:0 Klub LukhanKlub Lukhan
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir 1:1 Kheneral LamadridKheneral Lamadrid
13.06 16:30 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
El Porvenir 0:1 AtlasAtlas
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Fénix
D W W L W
27.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Fénix 1:1 YupankiYupanki
17.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Fénix 1:0 Puerto-NuevoPuerto-Nuevo
13.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Fénix 2:1 Sportivo BarrakasSportivo Barrakas
05.07 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Fénix 1:2 Klub LukhanKlub Lukhan
29.06 16:00 UTC Argentina: Primera C Standings
Fénix 3:1 Kheneral LamadridKheneral Lamadrid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEl Porvenir - Fénix

El Porvenir
0 matches total
Fénix
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history