Argentina. Primera Nacional
Acassuso take on Colon Santa Fe on August 1, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.
The bookmaker line makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at about 45%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 24% to win — broadly in line with the market. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Colon Santa Fe — 44%
Pure model vs market (2 · Colon Santa Fe): model 35% · market 45% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Acassuso 23.6%, draw 32.1%, win Colon Santa Fe 44.3%. Model favourite — Colon Santa Fe.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Colon Santa Fe.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.10 24.4% | 4.14 24.2% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.15 24.1% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | |
| X | 2.88 34.7% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.82 35.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.07 48.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.25 80.0% | 1.54 64.9% |
| yes | 3.35 29.9% | 2.43 41.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 1x | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 0_1 | 4.33 23.1% |
| 0_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_4 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 51.00 2.0% |
Acassuso
San-Migel
Rasing Kordova
Chako For Ever
Ferro
Tsentral Norte
Colon Santa Fe
Chako For Ever
Ferro
Tsentral Norte
Deportivo Madrin
Defensores de Belgrano
Full head-to-head historyAcassuso - Colon Santa Fe
The Acassuso - Colon Santa Fe breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
