Match center
Start
31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
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31.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe
1
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Akasuso — 48%
Model estimate: win Akasuso 47.9%, draw 21.8%, win Kolon Santa Fe 30.3%. Model favourite — Akasuso.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Akasuso (odds3.98)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✓ outcome correct · exact score
- • liniya na pik P1 2.30→1.01 (ukorotilas — dengi na pik)
- • Model backs Akasuso: probability 50% vs 25% on the line (odds 3.98)
- • edge over the line +25 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe July 31, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Kolon Santa Fe.
Line favourite market consensus: Kolon Santa Fe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.10 / X 3.01 / 2 2.07
- Glicko: Akasuso 47.9% / X 21.8% / Kolon Santa Fe 30.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.9%
1
23.0%
X
31.4%
2
45.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 1
2.30
↓ 1.01
1X2 X
2.20
↓ 1.45
1X2 2
4.80
↑ 7.60
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Akasuso - Kolon Santa Fe
Form
5/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
Movement
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 47.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.410 / LogLoss 0.735
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 47.9% fact: home
hit / ROI 1.0% / Brier 0.410 / LogLoss 0.735
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Akasuso
54.7%
47.9%
market and model agree
Draw
38.1%
21.8%
draw risk
Kolon Santa Fe
7.3%
30.3%
1X2: 1 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
47.9% / 21.8% / 30.3%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,417 / 1,481
Akasuso / Kolon Santa Fe
RD
187 / 300
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,043-1,791 / 881-2,080
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.04
market consensus · no value · model 30.3%
X
2.97
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
4.02
market consensus · weak value +92.7% · model 47.9%
Double chance
12
1.34
market consensus · value +4.8% · model 78.2%
1X
1.69
market consensus · value +17.8% · model 69.7%
X2
1.20
market consensus · no value · model 52.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
2 0
1.40
market consensus · line only
1 +0.5
1.72
market consensus · line only
1 0
2.75
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.59
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.32
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.32 43.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.68 59.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
| x2 | 1.18 84.8% | 1.21 82.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.85 20.6% | |
| X | 1.91 52.4% |
| 2.86 35.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
Match center
Akasuso
D
L
D
L
W
Akasuso
0:0
San-Migel
San-Migel
Akasuso
2:3
Rasing Kordova
Rasing Kordova
Akasuso
1:1
Chako For Ever
Chako For Ever
Akasuso
1:2
Ferro
Ferro
Akasuso
2:1
Tsentral Norte
Tsentral Norte
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
5
Points
Kolon Santa Fe
L
L
W
W
Kolon Santa Fe
0:1
Chako For Ever
Chako For Ever
Kolon Santa Fe
0:2
Ferro
Ferro
Kolon Santa Fe
2:1
Deportivo Madrin
Deportivo Madrin
Kolon Santa Fe
3:0
Defensores de Belgrano
Defensores de Belgrano
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAkasuso - Kolon Santa Fe
Akasuso
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form