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Argentina. Primera Nacional
Argentina. Primera Nacional
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction
02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Finished

Argentina. Primera Nacional

Almirante Brown - Racing Cordoba

Football
Almirante Brown
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Finished
Racing Cordoba
Racing Cordoba

Almirante Brown face Racing Cordoba on August 2, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.

Recent form (W-D-L): Almirante Brown 2-3-0, Racing Cordoba 2-1-2. The market favourite is Almirante Brown at roughly 42%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 42% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Almirante Brown — 42%

Pure model vs market (1 · Almirante Brown): model 39% · market 42% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Almirante Brown41.9%
X · draw34.2%
2 · Racing Cordoba24.0%

Model estimate: win Almirante Brown 41.9%, draw 34.2%, win Racing Cordoba 24.0%. Model favourite — Almirante Brown.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

Xdraw (odds2.56) Score 1:1 confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs nichyu: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.56)
  • • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Almirante Brown - Racing Cordoba August 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Almirante Brown.

Strongest: Almirante Brown - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 2.65 / 2 3.88
  • 1X2 market: Almirante Brown 41.8% / X 34.6% / Racing Cordoba 23.6%
  • Glicko: Almirante Brown 41.9% / X 34.2% / Racing Cordoba 24.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.2%
1 41.8%
X 34.6%
2 23.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Nacional
League table
Almirante Brown
#1232 ptsGP 228-8-615:13
Racing Cordoba
#2327 ptsGP 227-6-922:26
Best price across 13 books
1 2.27 Pinnacle
X 2.75 Bet365
2 4.11 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Almirante Brown
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 0.70 Conceded 0.50 xG 0.86 xGA 0.93
Racing Cordoba
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.00 xGA 0.86

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Almirante Brown
Rating 1519 xG 1.14 Win 40%
Racing Cordoba
Rating 1484 xG 0.95 Win 30%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Almirante Brown 1 : 1 Racing Cordoba
12.03
X2.65
24.36

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
7 predictions Choose an outcome
1 0% 0
X 66% 2
2 33% 1
Both teams to score BTTS yes 2.75 (1)
Total TB 1.5 1.80 (1)
corners_total_under corners_total_over:7_5 1.47 (1)
total_under_half1 TB 1.5 4.80 (1)
Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:00 UTC
Market 1 41.8% @ 2.19 / X 34.6% @ 2.65 / 2 23.6% @ 3.88
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Draw 66%
📐 Math model Almirante Brown 42%
💹 Market Almirante Brown 4182%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Almirante Brown - Racing Cordoba

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions Stavka.tv 3 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Almirante Brown 42.0% 41.9% market and model agree
Draw 34.7% 34.2% draw risk
Racing Cordoba 23.3% 24.0%
xG - 1.14 : 0.95
1X2: 15 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 41.9% / 34.2% / 24.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,554 Almirante Brown / Racing Cordoba
RD 193 / 195 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,115-1,886 / 1,163-1,944 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.89 market consensus · no value · model 24.0%
X 5.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 41.9%
Double chance
12 1.12 Fonbet · no value · model 65.8%
1X 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 76.0%
X2 5.90 Fonbet · weak value +243.0% · model 58.1%
Handicap
2 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%
X 2.62 38.2% 2.58 38.8% 2.75 36.4% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0%
3.90 25.6% 3.98 25.1% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 1.42 70.4%
yes 8.50 11.8% 2.80 35.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.12 89.3%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.50 66.7% 1.60 62.5% 5.90 17.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 4.50 22.2%
0_1 6.00 16.7%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
0_4 126.00 0.8%
1_0 4.00 25.0%
1_1 5.25 19.1%
1_2 13.00 7.7%
1_3 41.00 2.4%
1_4 126.00 0.8%
2_0 7.00 14.3%
2_1 8.50 11.8%
2_2 21.00 4.8%
2_3 61.00 1.6%
3_0 19.00 5.3%
3_1 21.00 4.8%
3_2 46.00 2.2%
3_3 126.00 0.8%
Match center
Almirante Brown
D D D W W
2026-07-26 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Almirante Brown Atletico Mitre 0:0 Almirante Brown
2026-07-17 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0:0 Estudiantes Caseros
2026-07-11 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Almirante Brown All Boys 1:1 Almirante Brown
2026-07-04 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1:0 Los Andes
2026-06-21 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 3:1 Atletico Mitre
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
9 Points
Racing Cordoba
W L W D L
2026-07-26 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Racing Cordoba 2:1 Atletico San Telmo Racing Cordoba
2026-07-17 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Atletico Mitre 1:0 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
2026-07-12 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Racing Cordoba 3:2 Acassuso Racing Cordoba
2026-07-05 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Estudiantes Caseros 1:1 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
2026-06-20 Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
Atletico San Telmo 2:0 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points