Argentina. Primera Nacional
Atletico Guemes go head-to-head with Tristan Suarez on August 3, 2026 in the Argentina. Primera Nacional.
Recent form (W-D-L): Atletico Guemes 0-0-5, Tristan Suarez 3-1-1. The bookmaker line makes draw the favourite at about 35%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 34% to win — broadly in line with the market. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Atletico Guemes — 34%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico Guemes): model 29% · market 35% Δ −6 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atletico Guemes 34.3%, draw 35.7%, win Tristan Suarez 30.0%. Model favourite — Atletico Guemes.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.
For reference
Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.67 37.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.63 38.0% | |
| X | 2.62 38.2% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.70 37.0% |
| 2.95 33.9% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 2.00 50.0% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.15 87.0% |
| 1x | 4.05 24.7% |
| x2 | 1.01 99.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 0_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 0_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1_1 | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 31.00 3.2% |
| 1_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 2_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 2_1 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 2_2 | 19.00 5.3% |
| 2_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 3_0 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_1 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_2 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 3_3 | 101.00 1.0% |
Atletico Guemes
Tristan Suarez
Full head-to-head historyAtletico Guemes - Tristan Suarez
The Atletico Guemes - Tristan Suarez breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
