Match center
Start
27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
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27.07.2026 16:30 UTC
Finished
Argentina. Primera Nacional
Atletico San Miguel - Akasuso
0
:
0
Finished
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Atletico San Miguel — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Atletico San Miguel): model 44% · market 57% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Atletico San Miguel 56.1%, draw 27.8%, win Akasuso 16.1%. Model favourite — Atletico San Miguel.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Atletico San Miguel (odds1.65)
Score 1:0
confidence 50%
✗ outcome missed
- • Model backs San-Migel: probability 50% vs 61% on the line (odds 1.65)
- • no edge over the line (-11 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Atletico San Miguel - Akasuso July 27, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico San Miguel.
Line favourite market consensus: Atletico San Miguel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 3.39 / 2 6.30
- Glicko: Atletico San Miguel 56.1% / X 27.8% / Akasuso 16.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.0%
1
57.2%
X
27.8%
2
15.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera NacionalLeague table
Atletico San Miguel
DLDWD
Akasuso
DLDLL
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Atletico San Miguel
1
:
1
Akasuso
11.61
X3.24
25.85
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Atletico San Miguel - Akasuso
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
Line
More needed
H2H
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement
Line history
Overview
championat, soccer365
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
0:0
Events
0
Statistics
0
Lineups
0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Option
Signal
Prediction / actual
Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 56.1% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.862 / LogLoss 1.280
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite
Audit
internal check, not a public signal
Data: line, form, table
home - 56.1% fact: draw
missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.862 / LogLoss 1.280
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Atletico San Miguel
56.8%
56.1%
market and model agree
Draw
28.0%
27.8%
draw risk
Akasuso
15.2%
16.1%
1X2: 3 Bookies
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
56.1% / 27.8% / 16.1%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,455 / 1,417
Atletico San Miguel / Akasuso
RD
177 / 187
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,101-1,808 / 1,044-1,790
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.13
market consensus · no value · model 16.1%
X
3.33
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.64
market consensus · no value · model 56.1%
Double chance
12
1.28
market consensus · no value · model 72.2%
1X
1.09
market consensus · no value · model 83.9%
X2
2.12
market consensus · no value · model 43.9%
Handicap
2 +0.5
2.16
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.60
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.23
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.40
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.91
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.91 34.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.14 46.7% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.32 43.1% | |
| X | 1.89 52.9% |
| 8.30 12.1% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Over 1 | 2.59 38.6% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| Under 1 | 1.44 69.4% |
Match center
Atletico San Miguel
L
L
D
D
D
Atletico San Miguel
2:3
Chako For Ever
Chako For Ever
Atletico San Miguel
0:1
Ferro
Ferro
Atletico San Miguel
1:1
Tsentral Norte
Tsentral Norte
Atletico San Miguel
2:2
Deportivo Madrin
Deportivo Madrin
Atletico San Miguel
1:1
Syudad Bolivar
Syudad Bolivar
0
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
3
Points
Akasuso
L
D
L
W
L
Akasuso
2:3
Rasing Kordova
Rasing Kordova
Akasuso
1:1
Chako For Ever
Chako For Ever
Akasuso
1:2
Ferro
Ferro
Akasuso
2:1
Tsentral Norte
Tsentral Norte
Akasuso
2:3
Deportivo Madrin
Deportivo Madrin
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.0
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAtletico San Miguel - Akasuso
Atletico San Miguel
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Atletico San Miguel - Akasuso breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form